TMHC:NYSETaylor Morrison Home Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-26 - not real-time
$72.45
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The recent shareholder approval of a merger with Berkshire Hathaway adds a strategic catalyst that could lift the premium and provide a more stable balance sheet. With a low beta (~0.73), modest volatility (≈3% 30‑day), and no dividend, the investment profile leans toward a value play with upside tied to the completion of the acquisition and the broader housing cycle recovery.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- RSI above 70 indicating overbought conditions
- Bearish MACD histogram and signal
- Price at resistance with decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Merger approval with Berkshire Hathaway
- Potential acquisition premium
- Valuation gap between market price and DCF
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Berkshire Hathaway backing provides balance‑sheet strength
- Low beta and modest volatility suggest defensive profile
- Long‑term housing demand and potential operational synergies
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-26.80%
Profit Margin8.77%
P/E Ratio10.8
ROE11.11%
ROA6.62%
Debt/Equity38.65
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$729.7M
Free Cash Flow$503.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI71.7
Support$71.56
Resistance$72.21
MA 20$71.84
MA 50$67.07
MA 200$62.96
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.25
Valuation
Fair Value$50.75
Target Price$66.75
Upside/Downside-7.87%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.73
Volatility2.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.