We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

TM:NYSEToyota Motor Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-17 - not real-time

$179.76

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Toyota Motor Corp. (TM) is trading around $179.8, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (≈$173.4) but still below the 50‑day (≈$180) and 200‑day (≈$204) averages, indicating short‑term momentum amid a longer‑term bearish backdrop. The RSI sits at 55, suggesting neutral pressure, while the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at a modest bullish tilt despite the overall bearish trend and decreasing volume. Valuation metrics reinforce the case for upside: a trailing P/E of under 10, a forward P/E near 11, and analyst price targets averaging $236‑$239 imply roughly 30% upside from current levels. The dividend yield of 3.49% with a payout ratio around 31% appears sustainable given solid operating cash flow, even though free cash flow is currently negative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching the $181.75 resistance level
  • Decreasing volume and bearish SMA alignment
  • Neutral RSI with a slight MACD bullish signal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus targets imply ~30% upside
  • New $2 billion Texas assembly line supporting EV/hydrogen growth
  • Insider buying by senior executives indicating confidence

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Low trailing P/E and attractive dividend yield
  • Strategic positioning in hybrid, EV, and fuel‑cell technologies
  • Global brand resilience and diversified geographic footprint

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.90%
Profit Margin7.59%
P/E Ratio9.8
ROE10.23%
ROA2.37%
Debt/Equity107.06
P/B Ratio15.1
Op. Cash Flow$5472.9B
Free Cash Flow$-1204836106240

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI55.0
Support$166.10
Resistance$181.75
MA 20$173.41
MA 50$180.03
MA 200$204.19
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.09

Valuation

Fair Value$20,463.92
Target Price$239.02
Upside/Downside32.97%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.49%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.06
Volatility26.41%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.