TLX:NASDAQTelix Pharmaceuticals Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-05 - not real-time
$11.09
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Telix Pharmaceuticals posted an 11% rise in Q1 revenue, lifting total revenue to roughly $804 million and delivering a strong 49% year‑over‑year growth rate. Gross margins are healthy at 47.5% while operating margins remain thin at 1.9%, and the company is still loss‑making on a per‑share basis (trailing EPS –$0.02). The forward earnings multiple is elevated at 44.7× versus an industry average of 25.6×, and the price‑to‑book ratio sits near 9×, suggesting the market is pricing in significant future upside. Analyst consensus is bullish, with a “strong buy” recommendation and a median 12‑month target of $21.82, implying an upside of about 95% from the current $11.09 price. Technicals show the stock trading just above its $9.66 support level and near the $11.48 resistance, with a neutral trend, RSI at 66 (approaching overbought) and a bearish MACD histogram, while volume has been slipping and 30‑day volatility is high at 51.7%. Overall, the combination of robust top‑line growth, a deep radiopharmaceutical pipeline, and favorable analyst sentiment outweighs the high valuation multiples.
The high beta (~0.84) and pronounced volatility flag short‑term price swings, but the upcoming Phase 3 data read‑out for the TLX591 prostate cancer candidate could act as a catalyst. The decreasing volume trend and modest bearish MACD signal suggest caution for momentum traders, yet the strong support level and continued revenue expansion support a buy stance. With a solid cash position of $142 million offset by substantial debt, liquidity remains adequate but warrants monitoring. Given the sector’s inherent regulatory and clinical‑trial risk, investors should weigh the upside potential against the possibility of trial setbacks. The stock’s upside potential, reinforced by analyst targets and pipeline momentum, justifies a positive outlook across time horizons.
The high beta (~0.84) and pronounced volatility flag short‑term price swings, but the upcoming Phase 3 data read‑out for the TLX591 prostate cancer candidate could act as a catalyst. The decreasing volume trend and modest bearish MACD signal suggest caution for momentum traders, yet the strong support level and continued revenue expansion support a buy stance. With a solid cash position of $142 million offset by substantial debt, liquidity remains adequate but warrants monitoring. Given the sector’s inherent regulatory and clinical‑trial risk, investors should weigh the upside potential against the possibility of trial setbacks. The stock’s upside potential, reinforced by analyst targets and pipeline momentum, justifies a positive outlook across time horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Positive Q1 revenue growth and reaffirmed guidance
- Support level at $9.66 with price above it
- Upcoming Phase 3 data release could trigger upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strong analyst consensus (strong buy) and ~95% upside target
- Robust pipeline of radiopharmaceutical candidates
- Revenue growth momentum continuing into FY2026
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term market opportunity for targeted radiotherapy and diagnostics
- Strategic collaborations and global manufacturing footprint
- Potential for commercial launch of TLX591 and other late‑stage assets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth49.30%
Profit Margin-0.89%
P/E Ratio44.7
ROE-1.86%
ROA1.15%
Debt/Equity112.45
P/B Ratio9.0
Op. Cash Flow$-17293000
Free Cash Flow$-36673500
Industry P/E25.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI65.7
Support$9.66
Resistance$11.48
MA 20$10.60
MA 50$9.14
MA 200$9.53
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.63
Valuation
Target Price$21.68
Upside/Downside95.48%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.84
Volatility51.73%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.