TLS:NASDAQTelos Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-05 - not real-time
$4.39
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Telos Corp (TLS) trades at $4.39, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $4.31 but well below the 200‑day SMA of $5.29, indicating short‑term momentum yet long‑term weakness. The MACD line (+0.026) sits just above its signal (+0.021) delivering a bullish histogram, while the RSI of 52 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. Beta of 2.6 and a 30‑day volatility of 41% signal pronounced price swings, and the DCF fair value of $13.46 implies roughly 60% upside versus the current price.
Recent earnings showed an EPS beat ($0.06 vs $0.021) and a robust 77% revenue growth, but margins remain negative and the forward PE sits at 17.2. The company holds $53.2M cash against $8.1M debt, providing a solid liquidity cushion. News highlights include a Q4 earnings beat and mixed 2026 guidance, while analysts have trimmed the price target to $4, maintaining a neutral stance.
Recent earnings showed an EPS beat ($0.06 vs $0.021) and a robust 77% revenue growth, but margins remain negative and the forward PE sits at 17.2. The company holds $53.2M cash against $8.1M debt, providing a solid liquidity cushion. News highlights include a Q4 earnings beat and mixed 2026 guidance, while analysts have trimmed the price target to $4, maintaining a neutral stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover
- Price above 20‑day SMA and support at $3.90
- Recent EPS beat but mixed guidance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF implied upside of ~60%
- Strong revenue growth (77%) and cash position
- Undervaluation relative to industry PE
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term cyber‑security tailwinds
- Persistent negative profitability margins
- High beta and volatility may deter risk‑averse investors
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth77.40%
Profit Margin-22.17%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE-32.76%
ROA-10.26%
Debt/Equity8.40
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash Flow$30.2M
Free Cash Flow$27.2M
Industry P/E39.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.0
Support$3.90
Resistance$4.61
MA 20$4.31
MA 50$4.26
MA 200$5.29
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.63
Valuation
Fair Value$13.46
Target Price$7.00
Upside/Downside59.64%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.61
Volatility41.32%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.