TITR:MILTelecom Italia Rsp Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
€0.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Telecom Italia shares are trading just above a solid technical support zone, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating a bullish medium‑term trend. However, the MACD has turned bearish and volume is slipping, suggesting short‑term pressure.
Fundamentally the company faces a challenging backdrop: revenue is down 2.5%, margins are thin, and free cash flow is negative while net debt exceeds €14 bn. The DCF‑derived fair value (€0.66) sits slightly below the current price (€0.70), implying only a modest upside and a valuation that is essentially fair to slightly overvalued relative to peers.
Fundamentally the company faces a challenging backdrop: revenue is down 2.5%, margins are thin, and free cash flow is negative while net debt exceeds €14 bn. The DCF‑derived fair value (€0.66) sits slightly below the current price (€0.70), implying only a modest upside and a valuation that is essentially fair to slightly overvalued relative to peers.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside
- Decreasing trading volume reducing price momentum
- Price hovering just above the identified support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- 20‑day SMA above longer‑term averages supporting a bullish trend
- Forward EPS turning positive and modest upside to DCF fair value
- Industry positioning in a stable communications services sector
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and negative free cash flow limiting financial flexibility
- Low ROE and modest profit margins constraining long‑term growth
- Regulatory environment in Italy and exposure to Brazil adding uncertainty
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin2.16%
P/E Ratio27.7
ROE4.44%
ROA1.93%
Debt/Equity104.12
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow€2.6B
Free Cash Flow€-620875008
Industry P/E17.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.5
Support€0.66
Resistance€0.77
MA 20€0.73
MA 50€0.70
MA 200€0.55
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value€0.66
Target Price€0.71
Upside/Downside1.45%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility28.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.