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TIT:MILTelecom Italia S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time

€0.73

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Telecom Italia shares are trading at €0.733, comfortably above the 20‑day (≈0.718) and 50‑day (≈0.674) SMAs, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. RSI sits at 68.9, flirting with overbought levels, while the MACD has turned bearish (histogram negative), suggesting momentum may be waning. Volume is on a decreasing trend, and the price is hovering near the resistance zone of €0.739, with support around €0.680. The stock’s P/E of 73.3 dwarfs the industry average of 17.2, flagging a significant valuation premium, and the forward P/E of 26.2 remains elevated. Debt is high (DE ratio >100%) and free cash flow is modest, limiting financial flexibility. Despite a modest 1.4% revenue growth and a forward EPS outlook that improves to €0.028, profitability stays thin (profit margin <1%). The beta of 0.44 and 30‑day volatility of ~17.8% point to relatively low systematic risk but noticeable price swings. The Fear‑Greed Index at “Extreme Greed” reflects strong market optimism, yet the upside/downside estimate of –15% hints at potential downside pressure. Overall, the technical setup is mixed, fundamentals are overvalued, and the balance sheet is leveraged, warranting caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with decreasing volume
  • MACD bearish divergence despite bullish SMA positioning
  • High valuation relative to peers

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Modest revenue growth and thin profit margins
  • Elevated forward P/E still above industry norms
  • Analyst target median price below current market level

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained overvaluation and limited upside
  • High debt load constraining cash generation
  • Regulatory and competitive pressures in the telecom sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.40%
Profit Margin0.93%
P/E Ratio73.3
ROE3.10%
ROA2.08%
Debt/Equity108.63
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow€2.4B
Free Cash Flow€688.4M
Industry P/E17.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI68.9
Support€0.68
Resistance€0.74
MA 20€0.72
MA 50€0.67
MA 200€0.56
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.93

Valuation

Target Price€0.62
Upside/Downside-15.30%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.44
Volatility17.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.