TGT:NYSETarget Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$125.43
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Target delivered a 6.7% revenue increase YoY in Q1 CY2026 and beat non‑GAAP earnings expectations, reinforcing its defensive retail positioning. The stock is trading above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, indicating a bullish price trend, yet the MACD shows a bearish signal and the price sits near the identified resistance level, suggesting limited upside in the near term. With a dividend yield of 3.6% and a payout ratio around 60%, cash flow remains ample to sustain the dividend, while the DCF model implies that the current market price exceeds intrinsic value.
Overall, the blend of solid earnings, attractive income, and defensive sector exposure supports a cautious stance, with short‑term price pressure from technical resistance but long‑term appeal from dividend stability and steady growth.
Overall, the blend of solid earnings, attractive income, and defensive sector exposure supports a cautious stance, with short‑term price pressure from technical resistance but long‑term appeal from dividend stability and steady growth.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent earnings beat and revenue growth
- Price approaching technical resistance
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating possible pullback
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend yield and cash flow generation
- Defensive consumer sector cushioning earnings volatility
- Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong dividend sustainability with a 60% payout ratio
- Consistent revenue and earnings growth in a defensive sector
- Robust balance sheet and free cash flow supporting future investments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin3.24%
P/E Ratio16.6
ROE22.02%
ROA5.04%
Debt/Equity117.15
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$7.0B
Free Cash Flow$2.8B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.5
Support$117.05
Resistance$131.98
MA 20$125.40
MA 50$123.09
MA 200$105.16
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.05
Valuation
Fair Value$71.52
Target Price$131.45
Upside/Downside4.80%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.63%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.78
Volatility33.16%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.