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TEVA:TASETeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$34.07

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Teva’s share price of $34.07 sits just above its 20‑day SMA of 34.79 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 32.05, confirming a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram of –0.31. The RSI of 51.4 signals a neutral momentum zone while the 30‑day volatility of 39.9% and a beta of 1.04 indicate the stock moves with the market but experiences pronounced price swings. Fundamentals show a modest 2.3% revenue growth and solid gross margin of 52%, yet the trailing P/E of 25.4× sits below the industry average of 27.6×, implying the stock is priced on the cheaper side of peers; the price‑to‑book of 4.82× is elevated, reflecting a premium valuation on assets. The DCF‑derived fair value of $20.9 per share and an upside/downside potential of 18.2% together with a “Extreme Greed” fear‑greed index suggest upside is still priced in. Recent material news – a $700 million cash acquisition of Emalex Biosciences, a Fitch upgrade to BBB‑ stable outlook, and the appointment of a new EVP of Global R&D – provide concrete catalysts that could lift earnings and cash‑flow generation, reinforcing the bullish technical set‑up. In sum, the stock trades in a bullish technical environment, is modestly undervalued relative to peers, and is backed by strong growth catalysts and an improved credit profile, but heightened volatility and regulatory exposure warrant cautious sizing.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price marginally above SMA20 indicating short‑term momentum
  • bearish MACD histogram suggesting near‑term pull‑back risk
  • high 30‑day volatility and decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Fitch upgrade to BBB‑ with stable outlook improving credit risk
  • $700 M Emalex acquisition adding pipeline growth
  • solid revenue growth and margins supporting earnings expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued P/E relative to industry peers
  • fairly priced DCF fair value versus current market price
  • ongoing R&D leadership and pipeline diversification

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.30%
Profit Margin9.02%
P/E Ratio25.4
ROE21.60%
ROA6.38%
Debt/Equity205.60
P/B Ratio4.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.7B
Free Cash Flow$2.6B
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.4
Support$30.58
Resistance$36.99
MA 20$34.79
MA 50$32.05
MA 200$27.30
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$20.91
Target Price$40.27
Upside/Downside18.21%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.04
Volatility39.95%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.