TEAD:NASDAQTeads Holding Co. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time
$0.92
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) is trading at $0.92, comfortably above its 20‑day (0.77) and 50‑day (0.75) simple moving averages but still below the 200‑day SMA (1.17), indicating short‑term momentum in a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI sits at 64, the MACD line is bullish (+0.051) and the price is approaching the identified resistance near $0.96, while a solid support zone sits around $0.60, suggesting limited downside in the near term. Market sentiment is highly optimistic, with the Fear & Greed Index at 88 (Extreme Greed) and an upside potential of roughly 9% versus a similar downside risk.
Fundamentally, TEAD shows strong top‑line growth (+50% YoY revenue) but is hampered by thin gross margins (33%) and a negative operating margin (-0.2%). The company posts a sizable net loss (trailing EPS -$5.69) and negative free cash flow, while carrying a heavy debt load ($654 M) versus modest cash ($139 M), resulting in an astronomical debt‑to‑equity ratio (>600). High volatility (84% 30‑day) and a beta well above market (~2.8) amplify the risk, and the stock’s liquidity is thin given its low market cap and trading volume.
Fundamentally, TEAD shows strong top‑line growth (+50% YoY revenue) but is hampered by thin gross margins (33%) and a negative operating margin (-0.2%). The company posts a sizable net loss (trailing EPS -$5.69) and negative free cash flow, while carrying a heavy debt load ($654 M) versus modest cash ($139 M), resulting in an astronomical debt‑to‑equity ratio (>600). High volatility (84% 30‑day) and a beta well above market (~2.8) amplify the risk, and the stock’s liquidity is thin given its low market cap and trading volume.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and RSI indicating short‑term momentum
- Proximity to resistance level limiting upside
- High volatility and thin trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth but persistent losses
- Heavy debt burden increasing financial risk
- Price-to-sales (0.07) and price-to-book (0.92) suggest valuation headroom
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Negative earnings and cash flow trends
- Elevated leverage and weak profitability metrics
- Sustained high beta and volatility indicating price instability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth50.20%
Profit Margin-39.76%
P/E Ratio-1.6
ROE-316.46%
ROA-1.06%
Debt/Equity684.73
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$7.6M
Free Cash Flow$-25426376
Industry P/E18.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI64.2
Support$0.60
Resistance$0.96
MA 20$0.77
MA 50$0.75
MA 200$1.17
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.34
Valuation
Target Price$1.00
Upside/Downside8.97%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.76
Volatility83.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.