TEAD:NASDAQTeads Holding Co. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$1.13
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Teads Holding Co. is trading at $1.13, comfortably above its 20‑day ($1.01) and 50‑day ($0.82) simple moving averages and just shy of the 200‑day average ($1.04), indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The 14‑day RSI sits at 60.7, suggesting continued upward momentum without being overbought, while the MACD line remains above its signal line, reinforcing the bullish technical picture. However, the fundamentals are markedly weak: revenue fell 7.1% year‑over‑year, operating margins are negative (-7.1%), and the company posted a net loss of $5.39 per share, with a forward EPS of –$0.55. Financial health is strained, evidenced by a debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 1,300, a cash balance of $98.6 M versus $653 M of debt, and a max drawdown of –81% over recent periods. Volatility is extreme at 144% over the past 30 days and beta is high (computed 3.42), making the stock highly sensitive to market swings. The market sentiment gauge is in “Extreme Greed” territory (90.75), but the decreasing volume trend and thin liquidity raise concerns about price stability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, bullish MACD)
- Extreme Greed sentiment indicating short‑term buying pressure
- Decreasing volume and high volatility signal caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Negative earnings, margins and cash burn
- Excessive leverage with debt‑to‑equity > 1,300
- High beta and volatility exposing investors to market risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Low price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales ratios suggest some floor value
- Potential restructuring or strategic pivot could improve cash position
- Persistent financial distress and regulatory headwinds limit upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-7.10%
Profit Margin-39.14%
P/E Ratio-2.1
ROE-190.89%
ROA-1.28%
Debt/Equity1300.15
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$-26299000
Free Cash Flow$-10316250
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI60.7
Support$0.80
Resistance$1.39
MA 20$1.01
MA 50$0.82
MA 200$1.04
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.75
Valuation
Target Price$1.00
Upside/Downside-11.72%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta3.42
Volatility144.28%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.