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TDSC:NASDAQETC Cabana Target Drawdown 10 ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$28.59

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

ETC Cabana Target Drawdown 10 ETF trades at $28.59, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. It has gained 4.0% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 57.9, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $27.88 up to resistance at $28.89.
The 0.90% expense ratio is middling for its category, and the fund manages $101.2M in assets.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 8.2%, a beta of 0.60 and a maximum drawdown of 5.5%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — buy short-term against hold longer out, with 3/10 conviction on the long call.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 26.81
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 26.81
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • 30-day volatility of 8.2%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.90%
AUM$101.2M
Inception Date2020-09-16
Avg Daily Volume3,330
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.61%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.9
Support$27.88
Resistance$28.89
MA 20$28.54
MA 50$28.01
MA 200$26.81
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79

Risk Assessment

Beta0.60
Volatility8.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.