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TDS:NYSETelephone and Data Systems, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time

$38.05

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. is priced at $38.05 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Over a rolling month the price has gained 13.1%. With RSI at 68.2 the momentum picture is approaching overbought, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $32.64 and resistance around $38.41.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 9.5 times earnings against the sector's 15.4. Analyst price targets sit 24.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 3.6% on a 33.2% profit margin. The 0.42% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 45.1%, a beta of 0.57 and a maximum drawdown of 30.7%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 6/10 conviction on the long call.

Top Market Events

On August 7, Telephone and Data Systems NYSE:TDS held its second-quarter earnings call alongside its tower subsidiary,...TDS Telecom delivers record fiber expansion while Array capitalizes on $1.TDS Telecom and Array both update guidance for 2026 CHICAGO, Aug.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 40.43
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 9.5 versus sector average of 15.4
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 40.43

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 9.5 versus sector average of 15.4
  • Analyst targets imply +24.9% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 33.2% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.60%
Profit Margin33.20%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE11.78%
ROA-0.19%
Debt/Equity23.12
Op. Cash Flow$105.7M
Free Cash Flow$599.4M
Industry P/E15.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI68.2
Support$32.64
Resistance$38.41
MA 20$34.61
MA 50$34.63
MA 200$40.43
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.11

Valuation

Fair Value$85.15
Target Price$47.50
Upside/Downside24.85%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.57
Volatility45.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.