TDOC:NYSETeladoc Health, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time
$9.43
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Teladoc Health is trading at $9.43, comfortably above its 20‑day ($8.84), 50‑day ($7.75) and 200‑day ($6.88) simple moving averages, indicating a bullish technical backdrop, but the RSI of 62.9 signals the stock is edging into overbought territory. Volume is on a downtrend and the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at a near‑term bearish pressure as the price approaches the $9.89 resistance level. The company’s fundamentals remain challenged: revenue fell 2.5% YoY to $2.5 B, operating and profit margins are negative, and the balance sheet shows $1.04 B of debt versus $0.75 B of cash, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio of roughly 78%. Despite these headwinds, the gross margin sits near 69% and free cash flow is positive at $208 M, suggesting the business can generate cash once cost discipline improves. A discounted cash flow model places fair value at $13.42, implying a potential upside, yet analyst consensus targets average $7.66, indicating the market expects further downside. Recent news of a senior hire for BetterHelp and commentary about a “recovery story” provide a modest catalyst, but the sector faces high regulatory scrutiny and concentration risk. Overall, the stock sits in a technically bullish zone but is shadowed by earnings volatility, high beta (≈1.6), and a volatile 30‑day price swing of over 50%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near the $9.89 resistance with bearish MACD divergence
- RSI in overbought range and decreasing volume
- Support level at $7.45 provides a downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price sustained above all major moving averages
- DCF suggests upside to $13.42
- Positive free cash flow and strong gross margin
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term telehealth tailwinds and expanding BetterHelp platform
- High leverage and negative profitability require turnaround
- Elevated beta and sector regulatory exposure increase volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin-6.81%
P/E Ratio-14.6
ROE-12.39%
ROA-3.14%
Debt/Equity77.68
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$288.0M
Free Cash Flow$208.3M
Industry P/E29.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.9
Support$7.45
Resistance$9.89
MA 20$8.84
MA 50$7.75
MA 200$6.88
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.91
Valuation
Fair Value$13.42
Target Price$7.66
Upside/Downside-18.79%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.58
Volatility51.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.