TDOC:NYSETeladoc Health, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time
$6.48
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Teladoc Health (TDOC) is trading at $6.48, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (5.74) and 50‑day SMA (5.45) but still below the 200‑day SMA (6.87), indicating short‑term momentum within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI sits at 69.6, flirting with overbought levels, while the MACD remains bullish (line > signal) and volume is increasing, suggesting some upward pressure toward the nearby resistance at $6.76. However, the stock is highly volatile (30‑day volatility ≈ 51%) and carries a beta of 1.95, exposing it to amplified market swings. The market sentiment is extremely optimistic, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 88.21 (Extreme Greed).
Fundamentally, TDOC posted a modest 2% revenue decline to $613.8 M and continues to generate negative margins (gross ≈ 69%, operating ≈ ‑8%). Losses remain sizable (trailing EPS ‑29.1, forward EPS ‑0.68) and debt ($1.04 B) is high relative to equity (D/E ≈ 78%). Yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $13.79 implies more than 100% upside, while the price‑to‑book (0.83) and price‑to‑sales (0.46) ratios suggest the stock is cheap on a balance‑sheet basis. Activist Pineal Capital’s push for a share‑repurchase program adds a potential catalyst, but the company must improve cash conversion and profitability to justify the valuation.
Fundamentally, TDOC posted a modest 2% revenue decline to $613.8 M and continues to generate negative margins (gross ≈ 69%, operating ≈ ‑8%). Losses remain sizable (trailing EPS ‑29.1, forward EPS ‑0.68) and debt ($1.04 B) is high relative to equity (D/E ≈ 78%). Yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $13.79 implies more than 100% upside, while the price‑to‑book (0.83) and price‑to‑sales (0.46) ratios suggest the stock is cheap on a balance‑sheet basis. Activist Pineal Capital’s push for a share‑repurchase program adds a potential catalyst, but the company must improve cash conversion and profitability to justify the valuation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- RSI near overbought and price approaching resistance
- Recent earnings miss and revenue decline
- High short‑term volatility and beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicating significant upside
- Increasing trading volume and bullish MACD
- Potential catalyst from activist‑driven share repurchase
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Need for sustainable profitability and margin improvement
- Elevated debt load and negative cash flow trends
- Regulatory environment and adoption of virtual care
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin-6.81%
P/E Ratio-9.5
ROE-12.39%
ROA-3.14%
Debt/Equity77.68
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$288.0M
Free Cash Flow$208.3M
Industry P/E25.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI69.6
Support$4.97
Resistance$6.76
MA 20$5.74
MA 50$5.45
MA 200$6.87
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.21
Valuation
Fair Value$13.79
Target Price$7.10
Upside/Downside9.49%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.95
Volatility50.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.