TDI:NASDAQTouchstone Dynamic International ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-27 - not real-time
$44.30
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Touchstone Dynamic International ETF (TDI) has delivered a robust 19% YTD return while its 20‑day SMA (45.17) sits above the 50‑day (44.78) and 200‑day (41.06) averages, signaling a bullish technical backdrop. Current price of $44.30 is comfortably above the identified support at $43.50 yet still below the resistance of $46.59, offering a modest upside buffer. However, the RSI at 45 indicates neutral momentum and the MACD histogram is negative, reflecting short‑term bearish pressure, compounded by a decreasing volume trend.
Volatility remains elevated at ~25% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.19 points to higher sensitivity to market swings, while the expense ratio of 0.65% is on the higher side for an index‑tracking ETF. Despite these risks, the fund boasts a zero tracking error and no premium/discount, mitigating tracking risk, and its foreign large‑blend mandate suggests a diversified sector profile.
Given the blend of strong recent performance, bullish longer‑term SMA alignment, and manageable tracking risk, the ETF appears well‑positioned for continued upside, though investors should monitor volume decay and short‑term MACD signals. A cautious hold in the near term, transitioning to a buy stance for medium and long horizons, aligns with the current data landscape.
Volatility remains elevated at ~25% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.19 points to higher sensitivity to market swings, while the expense ratio of 0.65% is on the higher side for an index‑tracking ETF. Despite these risks, the fund boasts a zero tracking error and no premium/discount, mitigating tracking risk, and its foreign large‑blend mandate suggests a diversified sector profile.
Given the blend of strong recent performance, bullish longer‑term SMA alignment, and manageable tracking risk, the ETF appears well‑positioned for continued upside, though investors should monitor volume decay and short‑term MACD signals. A cautious hold in the near term, transitioning to a buy stance for medium and long horizons, aligns with the current data landscape.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price testing support at $43.5
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term weakness
- Decreasing volume trend reducing immediate liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong 19% YTD performance
- Bullish SMA hierarchy (20 > 50 > 200)
- Zero tracking error ensuring index fidelity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified foreign large‑blend exposure lowers sector risk
- Mean annual return of ~24% over the past 3 years
- Currency exposure adds diversification while remaining manageable
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.65%
AUM$317.7M
Inception Date2005-12-09
Avg Daily Volume45,880
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.63%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.1
Support$43.50
Resistance$46.59
MA 20$45.17
MA 50$44.78
MA 200$41.06
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Risk Assessment
Beta1.19
Volatility25.22%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.