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TDI:NASDAQTouchstone Dynamic International ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-27 - not real-time

$44.30

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Touchstone Dynamic International ETF (TDI) has delivered a robust 19% YTD return while its 20‑day SMA (45.17) sits above the 50‑day (44.78) and 200‑day (41.06) averages, signaling a bullish technical backdrop. Current price of $44.30 is comfortably above the identified support at $43.50 yet still below the resistance of $46.59, offering a modest upside buffer. However, the RSI at 45 indicates neutral momentum and the MACD histogram is negative, reflecting short‑term bearish pressure, compounded by a decreasing volume trend.
Volatility remains elevated at ~25% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.19 points to higher sensitivity to market swings, while the expense ratio of 0.65% is on the higher side for an index‑tracking ETF. Despite these risks, the fund boasts a zero tracking error and no premium/discount, mitigating tracking risk, and its foreign large‑blend mandate suggests a diversified sector profile.
Given the blend of strong recent performance, bullish longer‑term SMA alignment, and manageable tracking risk, the ETF appears well‑positioned for continued upside, though investors should monitor volume decay and short‑term MACD signals. A cautious hold in the near term, transitioning to a buy stance for medium and long horizons, aligns with the current data landscape.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price testing support at $43.5
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term weakness
  • Decreasing volume trend reducing immediate liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 19% YTD performance
  • Bullish SMA hierarchy (20 > 50 > 200)
  • Zero tracking error ensuring index fidelity

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified foreign large‑blend exposure lowers sector risk
  • Mean annual return of ~24% over the past 3 years
  • Currency exposure adds diversification while remaining manageable

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.65%
AUM$317.7M
Inception Date2005-12-09
Avg Daily Volume45,880
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.63%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI45.1
Support$43.50
Resistance$46.59
MA 20$45.17
MA 50$44.78
MA 200$41.06
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Risk Assessment

Beta1.19
Volatility25.22%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.