TDG:NYSETransdigm Group Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 13, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $1,119.94
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
TransDigm Group Incorporated trades at $1,119.94, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 5.6%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 50.5 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $1,071.25 and resistance at $1,129.21.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 34.3 sits above the sector average of 27.8. Consensus targets land 28.3% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 22.5% on a 21.3% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 18.7%, a beta of 0.77 and a maximum drawdown of 25.8%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 34.3 sits above the sector average of 27.8. Consensus targets land 28.3% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 22.5% on a 21.3% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 18.7%, a beta of 0.77 and a maximum drawdown of 25.8%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
Top market events
- TransDigm Group NYSE:TDG reported fiscal third quarter results on August 4, with net sales climbing 23% to $2,741...
- TransDigm Group Incorporated NYSE:TDG closed at $1,107.
- Fiscal third-quarter adjusted earnings reached USD 10.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1242.05
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 34.3 versus sector average of 27.8
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1242.05
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 34.3 versus sector average of 27.8
- Analyst targets imply +28.3% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 21.3% is healthy
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth22.50%
Profit Margin21.28%
P/E Ratio34.3
ROA11.82%
P/B Ratio-6.7
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.5B
Industry P/E27.8
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.5
Support$1,071.25
Resistance$1,129.21
MA 20$1,098.23
MA 50$1,159.37
MA 200$1,242.05
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.66
Valuation
Fair Value$218.56
Target Price$1,436.70
Upside/Downside28.28%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk assessment
Beta0.77
Volatility18.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.