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TDC:NYSETeradata Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time

$33.38

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Teradata (TDC) is trading at $33.38, just below its 20‑day SMA of 33.61 but comfortably above the 50‑day (30.28) and 200‑day (27.57) averages, signaling a modest bullish bias. The RSI of 54 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative (-0.37), suggesting short‑term bearish pressure despite the overall bullish trend direction. Volatility is elevated at 48.6% (30‑day) and beta is high at 1.45**, reflecting sensitivity to market swings and a higher risk profile. Fundamental metrics show a very low PE of 7.6 versus an industry average of 37.3, but a lofty price‑to‑book of 13.4 and a meager ROE of 1.2%, indicating the market may be pricing in intangible AI assets rather than solid profitability. The balance sheet is net‑cash positive, with $816 M cash offsetting $553 M debt, and free cash flow of $335 M supports ongoing operations and investment.
Recent leadership restructuring—elevating Josh Fecteur to Chief Data & AI Officer and CIO—aims to accelerate enterprise AI adoption, a strategic catalyst that could unlock growth. However, insider activity (the Chief Product Officer’s sale of 15,000 shares) and a decreasing volume trend temper enthusiasm. Analyst consensus remains a “hold,” and the stock sits near its technical support at $30.36 with resistance around $36.86, leaving limited upside in the near term but potential upside if AI initiatives gain traction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term bearish pressure
  • Decreasing volume trend reducing liquidity confidence
  • Recent insider sale raising caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic AI leadership consolidation to drive revenue growth
  • Low PE relative to industry suggesting valuation upside
  • Stable cash generation and positive free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term AI and data platform tailwinds in enterprise market
  • Net‑cash position providing financial flexibility
  • Undervaluation relative to peers despite high P/B, offering upside potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.20%
Profit Margin24.93%
P/E Ratio7.6
ROE117.76%
ROA7.45%
Debt/Equity99.28
P/B Ratio13.4
Op. Cash Flow$698.0M
Free Cash Flow$335.4M
Industry P/E37.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.1
Support$30.36
Resistance$36.86
MA 20$33.61
MA 50$30.28
MA 200$27.57
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.96

Valuation

Fair Value$64.03
Target Price$34.88
Upside/Downside4.49%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.45
Volatility48.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.