TCRX:NASDAQTScan Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
$0.91
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
TScan Therapeutics is trading at $0.91, well below its 20‑day (≈$1.00), 50‑day (≈$1.10) and 200‑day (≈$1.29) moving averages, with a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI of 35 that hints at oversold conditions. Volatility is extreme at nearly 59% over the past 30 days and a beta of 2.3 signals pronounced sensitivity to market swings; the stock is hovering just above its calculated support of $0.90 and faces resistance near $1.13. Valuation metrics are mixed: a price‑to‑book of 0.42 suggests a discount to net assets, while a price‑to‑sales of 6.5 and a negative earnings multiple reflect the challenges of a pre‑revenue, loss‑making biotech.
Fundamentally, revenue has collapsed by 55% to $9.1 M, operating margins are –29.7% and cash flow remains deeply negative, with $128 M in cash offset by $92 M of debt (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 95%). Recent earnings showed a modest profit‑beat (+1.1%) but a severe revenue miss (‑57.9%). The company’s pipeline is early‑stage (Phase I TCR‑T therapies) and hinges on future clinical success and its Amgen collaboration, underscoring high sector and regulatory risk.
Fundamentally, revenue has collapsed by 55% to $9.1 M, operating margins are –29.7% and cash flow remains deeply negative, with $128 M in cash offset by $92 M of debt (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 95%). Recent earnings showed a modest profit‑beat (+1.1%) but a severe revenue miss (‑57.9%). The company’s pipeline is early‑stage (Phase I TCR‑T therapies) and hinges on future clinical success and its Amgen collaboration, underscoring high sector and regulatory risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical setup with price below key moving averages
- Decreasing trading volume and high short‑term volatility
- Weak earnings and steep revenue decline
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from upcoming Phase I data
- Cash runway supported by $128 M cash balance
- Continued high beta and market sensitivity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term value proposition of TCR‑T platform
- Strategic partnership with Amgen offering validation
- Current low price‑to‑book providing a margin of safety if trials succeed
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-54.80%
P/E Ratio-1.0
ROE-80.95%
ROA-29.62%
Debt/Equity95.48
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$-122012000
Free Cash Flow$-84107624
Industry P/E24.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.1
Support$0.90
Resistance$1.13
MA 20$1.00
MA 50$1.10
MA 200$1.29
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$6.00
Upside/Downside557.82%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.30
Volatility58.92%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.