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TCRT:NASDAQAlaunos Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time

$2.53

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

TCRT is trading at $2.53, well below its 20‑day (2.78), 50‑day (3.01) and 200‑day (2.91) simple moving averages, signaling a clear downtrend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 33, hinting at near‑oversold conditions but not a decisive bounce. MACD is bearish, with the line under the signal and a negative histogram, reinforcing downward momentum. Volume has collapsed to 1,831 shares versus a 10‑day average of 13,570, underscoring thin liquidity. A 30‑day volatility of roughly 36% and a beta near 1.1 indicate the stock swings more than the broader market, amplifying risk.
Fundamentally, the company posted $5 M in revenue with a 25% YoY decline, zero gross margin and an operating loss exceeding 300%. Cash burn is severe at about $2.9 M annually, leaving only $1.4 M in cash – barely six months of runway. The forward P/E is negative and the price‑to‑sales ratio tops 1,200, suggesting the market is pricing speculative future upside. Compounding these issues, TCRT received a Nasdaq notice for non‑compliance with equity rules, a material red flag for short‑term investors. Overall, the blend of technical weakness, financial distress, and compliance concerns makes the stock highly risky at current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below all major moving averages
  • negative cash flow and limited runway
  • Nasdaq compliance notice and decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • potential upside from oncology pipeline
  • high cash burn remains a concern
  • moderate beta and volatility may deter investors

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term therapeutic breakthroughs could unlock value
  • current financial structure is unsustainable without financing
  • valuation remains speculative with no earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-25.00%
P/E Ratio-4.2
ROE-198.10%
ROA-92.31%
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$-2869000
Free Cash Flow$-753625
Industry P/E25.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.0
Support$2.37
Resistance$3.14
MA 20$2.78
MA 50$3.01
MA 200$2.91
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.11

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.10
Volatility36.53%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.