TCRT:NASDAQAlaunos Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time
$2.53
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
TCRT is trading at $2.53, well below its 20‑day (2.78), 50‑day (3.01) and 200‑day (2.91) simple moving averages, signaling a clear downtrend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 33, hinting at near‑oversold conditions but not a decisive bounce. MACD is bearish, with the line under the signal and a negative histogram, reinforcing downward momentum. Volume has collapsed to 1,831 shares versus a 10‑day average of 13,570, underscoring thin liquidity. A 30‑day volatility of roughly 36% and a beta near 1.1 indicate the stock swings more than the broader market, amplifying risk.
Fundamentally, the company posted $5 M in revenue with a 25% YoY decline, zero gross margin and an operating loss exceeding 300%. Cash burn is severe at about $2.9 M annually, leaving only $1.4 M in cash – barely six months of runway. The forward P/E is negative and the price‑to‑sales ratio tops 1,200, suggesting the market is pricing speculative future upside. Compounding these issues, TCRT received a Nasdaq notice for non‑compliance with equity rules, a material red flag for short‑term investors. Overall, the blend of technical weakness, financial distress, and compliance concerns makes the stock highly risky at current levels.
Fundamentally, the company posted $5 M in revenue with a 25% YoY decline, zero gross margin and an operating loss exceeding 300%. Cash burn is severe at about $2.9 M annually, leaving only $1.4 M in cash – barely six months of runway. The forward P/E is negative and the price‑to‑sales ratio tops 1,200, suggesting the market is pricing speculative future upside. Compounding these issues, TCRT received a Nasdaq notice for non‑compliance with equity rules, a material red flag for short‑term investors. Overall, the blend of technical weakness, financial distress, and compliance concerns makes the stock highly risky at current levels.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price below all major moving averages
- negative cash flow and limited runway
- Nasdaq compliance notice and decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- potential upside from oncology pipeline
- high cash burn remains a concern
- moderate beta and volatility may deter investors
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- long‑term therapeutic breakthroughs could unlock value
- current financial structure is unsustainable without financing
- valuation remains speculative with no earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-25.00%
P/E Ratio-4.2
ROE-198.10%
ROA-92.31%
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$-2869000
Free Cash Flow$-753625
Industry P/E25.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI33.0
Support$2.37
Resistance$3.14
MA 20$2.78
MA 50$3.01
MA 200$2.91
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.11
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.10
Volatility36.53%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.