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TCRT:NASDAQAlaunos Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

$1.88

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Alaunos Therapeutics (TCRT) is trading at $1.88, just above its identified support of $1.81 and well below its 20‑day ($2.01), 50‑day ($2.21) and 200‑day ($2.82) simple moving averages, indicating a sustained bearish price trend. Technical momentum is weak, with a 14‑day RSI of 35 suggesting limited upside and a MACD histogram turning negative, while volume has been decreasing and 30‑day volatility spikes above 56%, underscoring price instability. Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue growth, negative operating margins (‑1382%), and a trailing EPS of –$2.12, resulting in a nonsensical PE ratio and a price‑to‑sales multiple above 1500, which together point to severe valuation concerns.
The only positive catalyst is a recent pre‑clinical study (ALN1003) showing reduced liver weight in a diet‑induced obesity mouse model, but this data remains early‑stage and does not offset the broader financial and technical weaknesses.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all key moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and low RSI
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside from upcoming pre‑clinical data releases
  • Continued cash burn and negative cash flow
  • Market sentiment driven by biotech sector risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • High uncertainty of clinical success for ALN1003
  • No revenue generation and substantial operating losses
  • Elevated beta (1.17) indicating amplified market moves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-3.1
ROE-350.30%
ROA-129.43%
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$-3128000
Free Cash Flow$-2139625
Industry P/E29.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.2
Support$1.81
Resistance$2.22
MA 20$2.01
MA 50$2.21
MA 200$2.82
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.17
Volatility56.34%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.