TCRT:NASDAQAlaunos Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
$1.88
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Alaunos Therapeutics (TCRT) is trading at $1.88, just above its identified support of $1.81 and well below its 20‑day ($2.01), 50‑day ($2.21) and 200‑day ($2.82) simple moving averages, indicating a sustained bearish price trend. Technical momentum is weak, with a 14‑day RSI of 35 suggesting limited upside and a MACD histogram turning negative, while volume has been decreasing and 30‑day volatility spikes above 56%, underscoring price instability. Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue growth, negative operating margins (‑1382%), and a trailing EPS of –$2.12, resulting in a nonsensical PE ratio and a price‑to‑sales multiple above 1500, which together point to severe valuation concerns.
The only positive catalyst is a recent pre‑clinical study (ALN1003) showing reduced liver weight in a diet‑induced obesity mouse model, but this data remains early‑stage and does not offset the broader financial and technical weaknesses.
The only positive catalyst is a recent pre‑clinical study (ALN1003) showing reduced liver weight in a diet‑induced obesity mouse model, but this data remains early‑stage and does not offset the broader financial and technical weaknesses.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below all key moving averages
- Bearish MACD and low RSI
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from upcoming pre‑clinical data releases
- Continued cash burn and negative cash flow
- Market sentiment driven by biotech sector risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- High uncertainty of clinical success for ALN1003
- No revenue generation and substantial operating losses
- Elevated beta (1.17) indicating amplified market moves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-3.1
ROE-350.30%
ROA-129.43%
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$-3128000
Free Cash Flow$-2139625
Industry P/E29.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.2
Support$1.81
Resistance$2.22
MA 20$2.01
MA 50$2.21
MA 200$2.82
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.17
Volatility56.34%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.