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TCRT:NASDAQAlaunos Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$2.81

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock trades at $2.81, which sits above the 20‑day SMA ($2.55) and 50‑day SMA ($2.78) but remains below the 200‑day SMA ($2.88). RSI is at 60.5, indicating moderate momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive, flagging a bullish signal despite an overall bearish trend label. Volume is increasing, yet volatility is extremely high at 54.8% and beta is 1.09, suggesting the price could swing sharply.
Fundamental & news context: Alaunos reports zero revenue growth, a massive operating loss (‑1382% margin) and negative EPS, with cash burn outpacing its $354k cash balance. The price‑to‑sales ratio exceeds 2,200, underscoring severe overvaluation relative to its negligible sales. No dividends are paid. Recent pre‑clinical data on ALN1003 shows promising weight‑loss and metabolic‑marker improvements, offering a potential catalyst, but the company remains in an early, high‑risk development stage.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term SMAs but below long‑term SMA signals mixed momentum
  • Extreme volatility (≈55%) and bearish trend label
  • Negative earnings, large cash burn, and ultra‑high price‑to‑sales

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Pending clinical milestones for ALN1003 could shift sentiment
  • Technical support near short‑term averages
  • Fundamentals remain weak with no revenue growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential breakthrough if pre‑clinical results translate to human trials
  • Sustained high beta and sector risk keep downside exposure
  • Lack of profitability and cash runway limit upside without financing

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-4.7
ROE-350.30%
ROA-129.43%
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$-3128000
Free Cash Flow$-2139625
Industry P/E27.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI60.5
Support$2.30
Resistance$3.06
MA 20$2.55
MA 50$2.78
MA 200$2.88
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.09
Volatility54.76%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.