TCBS:NASDAQTexas Community Bancshares, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
$17.32
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. is neutral at $17.32, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Momentum indicators put RSI at 45.6 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at $17.26 up to resistance at $17.93.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 14.3 times earnings against the sector's 16.9. Revenue is growing at 13.5% on a 20.1% profit margin. The 1.39% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 14.9%, a beta of -0.20 and a maximum drawdown of 11.8%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 6 out of 10.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 14.3 times earnings against the sector's 16.9. Revenue is growing at 13.5% on a 20.1% profit margin. The 1.39% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 14.9%, a beta of -0.20 and a maximum drawdown of 11.8%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 6 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. the "Company" NASDAQ: "TCBS" , the holding company of Broadstreet Bank, SSB, announced...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 17.01
- MACD momentum is negative
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.3 versus sector average of 16.9
- Trading above the 200-day average of 17.01
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.3 versus sector average of 16.9
- Profit margin of 20.1% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +13.5%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.50%
Profit Margin20.14%
P/E Ratio14.3
ROE6.16%
ROA0.75%
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$4.9M
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.6
Support$17.26
Resistance$17.93
MA 20$17.40
MA 50$17.58
MA 200$17.01
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79
Valuation
Fair Value$15.74
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.39%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.20
Volatility14.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.