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TBS:JSETiger Brands Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

ZAC 28,238.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tiger Brands is trading at R28,238, just above the identified support of R28,200 and well below its 20‑day (R28,909) and 50‑day (R29,411) SMAs, indicating short‑term pressure. RSI sits at 36, hinting at possible oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing a bearish bias and a decreasing volume trend that suggests limited buying interest.
Fundamentally, the stock appears attractive: a forward PE of 12.7 and current PE of 10.7 place it at a value price relative to peers, and the DCF‑derived fair value of R38,583 implies roughly 23% upside. The company generates a robust 5.79% dividend yield with a 41% payout ratio, supported by strong operating cash flow (R5.83bn) and a healthy balance sheet (cash > R4.7bn, debt < R0.4bn). Low beta (≈0.02) and moderate 30‑day volatility (15%) reflect the defensive nature of the consumer staples sector, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment may be inflating short‑term expectations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bearish momentum
  • High dividend yield offering income cushion
  • Decreasing volume indicating limited short‑term liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF upside of ~23% versus current price
  • Strong cash generation and low leverage
  • Defensive consumer staples positioning

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend policy with payout ~41%
  • Stable earnings margins and solid ROE (~23%)
  • Low beta and sector resilience to economic cycles

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin11.10%
P/E Ratio10.7
ROE22.96%
ROA8.74%
Debt/Equity2.07
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowZAC5.8B
Free Cash FlowZAC4.2B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI36.5
SupportZAC 28,200.00
ResistanceZAC 30,104.00
MA 20ZAC 28,909.35
MA 50ZAC 29,411.48
MA 200ZAC 32,341.74
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.41

Valuation

Fair ValueZAC 38,582.54
Target PriceZAC 34,800.00
Upside/Downside23.24%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility15.20%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.