TBIG:IDXPT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-07 - not real-time
IDR 1,405.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TBIG is trading well below its long‑term moving averages (20‑day SMA 1,428.75, 50‑day SMA 1,496.4, 200‑day SMA 1,803.58) and sits at IDR 1,405, indicating a pronounced bearish price bias. The RSI of 45.8 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a modest bullish histogram (+5.32) despite the MACD line remaining negative, hinting at a potential short‑term reversal but not enough to offset the overall downtrend. Volatility is high at 60% over the past 30 days and the beta is effectively neutral (~0.01), meaning price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market movements. Fundamental metrics reveal a PE of 22.44 versus an industry average of 16.77, pointing to an overvalued valuation, yet the dividend yield of 3.31% and a modest payout ratio (38%) provide income support. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity of 221, and a max drawdown of 53.6% underscores downside risk, though the upside potential of ~39% remains attractive under the current “Extreme Greed” market sentiment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish momentum
- MACD histogram turning positive suggests limited upside
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Target median price of IDR 1,800 implies ~38% upside
- Strong dividend yield provides cash return while price recovers
- Fundamental margins remain robust despite revenue contraction
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Sustained high leverage raises balance‑sheet risk
- Overvalued relative to industry peers limits upside
- Stable dividend policy and solid cash flow support shareholder value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.80%
Profit Margin20.35%
P/E Ratio22.4
ROE12.11%
ROA5.92%
Debt/Equity221.16
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowIDR5523.3B
Free Cash FlowIDR1173.5B
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.8
SupportIDR 1,320.00
ResistanceIDR 1,530.00
MA 20IDR 1,428.75
MA 50IDR 1,496.40
MA 200IDR 1,803.58
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.05
Valuation
Target PriceIDR 1,952.78
Upside/Downside38.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.31%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility60.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.