We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

TBIG:IDXPT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-07 - not real-time

IDR 1,405.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TBIG is trading well below its long‑term moving averages (20‑day SMA 1,428.75, 50‑day SMA 1,496.4, 200‑day SMA 1,803.58) and sits at IDR 1,405, indicating a pronounced bearish price bias. The RSI of 45.8 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a modest bullish histogram (+5.32) despite the MACD line remaining negative, hinting at a potential short‑term reversal but not enough to offset the overall downtrend. Volatility is high at 60% over the past 30 days and the beta is effectively neutral (~0.01), meaning price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market movements. Fundamental metrics reveal a PE of 22.44 versus an industry average of 16.77, pointing to an overvalued valuation, yet the dividend yield of 3.31% and a modest payout ratio (38%) provide income support. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity of 221, and a max drawdown of 53.6% underscores downside risk, though the upside potential of ~39% remains attractive under the current “Extreme Greed” market sentiment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish momentum
  • MACD histogram turning positive suggests limited upside
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Target median price of IDR 1,800 implies ~38% upside
  • Strong dividend yield provides cash return while price recovers
  • Fundamental margins remain robust despite revenue contraction

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high leverage raises balance‑sheet risk
  • Overvalued relative to industry peers limits upside
  • Stable dividend policy and solid cash flow support shareholder value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.80%
Profit Margin20.35%
P/E Ratio22.4
ROE12.11%
ROA5.92%
Debt/Equity221.16
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowIDR5523.3B
Free Cash FlowIDR1173.5B
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.8
SupportIDR 1,320.00
ResistanceIDR 1,530.00
MA 20IDR 1,428.75
MA 50IDR 1,496.40
MA 200IDR 1,803.58
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.05

Valuation

Target PriceIDR 1,952.78
Upside/Downside38.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility60.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.