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TBI:NYSETrueBlue, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time

$5.84

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) is trading at $5.84, comfortably above its 20‑day ($4.45) and 50‑day ($4.07) SMAs and just under its 200‑day SMA ($5.13), indicating short‑term strength but a still‑neutral longer trend. The stock is deep in overbought territory (RSI 80) while the MACD remains bullish, suggesting momentum could stall pending the Q1 2026 earnings release. Revenue grew 8.3% YoY to $1.62 B, driven by skilled‑trade and energy placements, yet margins remain thin (gross 22.6%, operating –3.4%) and cash flow is negative, with a sizable debt load ($124 M) and a historic max drawdown of ‑57%. Valuation appears attractive – forward PE 10.6 versus an industry average of 30.9, P/B 0.64 and price‑to‑sales 0.11 – but the balance sheet stress and high 30‑day volatility (≈79%) raise caution.
The consensus analyst view is a “buy” with a target price of $7.75, implying roughly 32% upside. Upcoming earnings and the newly appointed independent director could provide catalysts, but investors should monitor the overbought RSI, the proximity of resistance at $6.09, and the company’s ability to convert revenue growth into sustainable profitability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicates overbought conditions
  • Upcoming earnings could trigger volatility
  • Price approaching near‑term resistance at $6.09

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation relative to industry peers
  • Revenue growth in high‑margin skilled‑trade segment
  • Forward EPS turning positive and target price upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Structural demand for contingent labor services
  • Debt burden and negative cash flow constrain upside
  • Potential for operational turnaround post‑earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.30%
Profit Margin-2.97%
P/E Ratio10.6
ROE-16.26%
ROA-3.49%
Debt/Equity45.09
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-58042000
Free Cash Flow$-43369248
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI80.4
Support$3.22
Resistance$6.09
MA 20$4.45
MA 50$4.07
MA 200$5.13
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.98

Valuation

Target Price$7.75
Upside/Downside32.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.14
Volatility78.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.