TBI:NYSETrueBlue, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time
$5.84
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) is trading at $5.84, comfortably above its 20‑day ($4.45) and 50‑day ($4.07) SMAs and just under its 200‑day SMA ($5.13), indicating short‑term strength but a still‑neutral longer trend. The stock is deep in overbought territory (RSI 80) while the MACD remains bullish, suggesting momentum could stall pending the Q1 2026 earnings release. Revenue grew 8.3% YoY to $1.62 B, driven by skilled‑trade and energy placements, yet margins remain thin (gross 22.6%, operating –3.4%) and cash flow is negative, with a sizable debt load ($124 M) and a historic max drawdown of ‑57%. Valuation appears attractive – forward PE 10.6 versus an industry average of 30.9, P/B 0.64 and price‑to‑sales 0.11 – but the balance sheet stress and high 30‑day volatility (≈79%) raise caution.
The consensus analyst view is a “buy” with a target price of $7.75, implying roughly 32% upside. Upcoming earnings and the newly appointed independent director could provide catalysts, but investors should monitor the overbought RSI, the proximity of resistance at $6.09, and the company’s ability to convert revenue growth into sustainable profitability.
The consensus analyst view is a “buy” with a target price of $7.75, implying roughly 32% upside. Upcoming earnings and the newly appointed independent director could provide catalysts, but investors should monitor the overbought RSI, the proximity of resistance at $6.09, and the company’s ability to convert revenue growth into sustainable profitability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicates overbought conditions
- Upcoming earnings could trigger volatility
- Price approaching near‑term resistance at $6.09
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Attractive valuation relative to industry peers
- Revenue growth in high‑margin skilled‑trade segment
- Forward EPS turning positive and target price upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Structural demand for contingent labor services
- Debt burden and negative cash flow constrain upside
- Potential for operational turnaround post‑earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.30%
Profit Margin-2.97%
P/E Ratio10.6
ROE-16.26%
ROA-3.49%
Debt/Equity45.09
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-58042000
Free Cash Flow$-43369248
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI80.4
Support$3.22
Resistance$6.09
MA 20$4.45
MA 50$4.07
MA 200$5.13
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.98
Valuation
Target Price$7.75
Upside/Downside32.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.14
Volatility78.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.