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TBCH:NASDAQTurtle Beach Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time

$11.96

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

TBCH is trading at $11.96, which sits above its DCF fair value of $8.61, indicating an overvalued position. The 20‑day SMA (≈$11.11) is just below price while the 200‑day SMA (≈$13.74) remains higher, signaling a bearish medium‑term trend. RSI is at 60 and the MACD histogram is bullish (+0.099), but volume is decreasing and a beta of 1.77 drives a 45% 30‑day volatility.
Fundamentally, revenue fell 18.7% YoY to $319.9 M, yet gross margin (37.6%) and operating margin (19%) show disciplined cost control. Forward EPS of $1.48 yields a forward P/E of 8.1, far below the industry average of 38.5, and the price‑to‑book of 1.79 supports a value orientation, though $91.4 M of debt (71% D/E) and a max drawdown of ~41% raise financial risk.
Analyst consensus is a strong‑buy with a median target of $17.5, implying ~36% upside, but the bearish technical setup, high beta, and near‑term earnings uncertainty suggest caution. Long‑run prospects depend on capturing esports growth and reversing top‑line decline.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Current price above DCF fair value
  • Bearish medium‑term SMA alignment
  • High short‑term volatility and decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue contraction offset by solid margins
  • Forward P/E of 8.1 indicating value potential
  • Elevated debt level and beta

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong analyst consensus and ~36% upside target
  • Growth opportunities in esports and gaming accessories
  • Undervalued forward earnings multiple relative to industry

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-18.70%
Profit Margin4.92%
P/E Ratio15.5
ROE12.63%
ROA4.58%
Debt/Equity71.15
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$35.5M
Free Cash Flow$18.4M
Industry P/E38.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI60.4
Support$9.84
Resistance$12.40
MA 20$11.11
MA 50$11.59
MA 200$13.74
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.48

Valuation

Fair Value$8.61
Target Price$16.33
Upside/Downside36.57%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.77
Volatility45.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.