TBCH:NASDAQTurtle Beach Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time
$11.96
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
TBCH is trading at $11.96, which sits above its DCF fair value of $8.61, indicating an overvalued position. The 20‑day SMA (≈$11.11) is just below price while the 200‑day SMA (≈$13.74) remains higher, signaling a bearish medium‑term trend. RSI is at 60 and the MACD histogram is bullish (+0.099), but volume is decreasing and a beta of 1.77 drives a 45% 30‑day volatility.
Fundamentally, revenue fell 18.7% YoY to $319.9 M, yet gross margin (37.6%) and operating margin (19%) show disciplined cost control. Forward EPS of $1.48 yields a forward P/E of 8.1, far below the industry average of 38.5, and the price‑to‑book of 1.79 supports a value orientation, though $91.4 M of debt (71% D/E) and a max drawdown of ~41% raise financial risk.
Analyst consensus is a strong‑buy with a median target of $17.5, implying ~36% upside, but the bearish technical setup, high beta, and near‑term earnings uncertainty suggest caution. Long‑run prospects depend on capturing esports growth and reversing top‑line decline.
Fundamentally, revenue fell 18.7% YoY to $319.9 M, yet gross margin (37.6%) and operating margin (19%) show disciplined cost control. Forward EPS of $1.48 yields a forward P/E of 8.1, far below the industry average of 38.5, and the price‑to‑book of 1.79 supports a value orientation, though $91.4 M of debt (71% D/E) and a max drawdown of ~41% raise financial risk.
Analyst consensus is a strong‑buy with a median target of $17.5, implying ~36% upside, but the bearish technical setup, high beta, and near‑term earnings uncertainty suggest caution. Long‑run prospects depend on capturing esports growth and reversing top‑line decline.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Current price above DCF fair value
- Bearish medium‑term SMA alignment
- High short‑term volatility and decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue contraction offset by solid margins
- Forward P/E of 8.1 indicating value potential
- Elevated debt level and beta
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong analyst consensus and ~36% upside target
- Growth opportunities in esports and gaming accessories
- Undervalued forward earnings multiple relative to industry
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-18.70%
Profit Margin4.92%
P/E Ratio15.5
ROE12.63%
ROA4.58%
Debt/Equity71.15
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$35.5M
Free Cash Flow$18.4M
Industry P/E38.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI60.4
Support$9.84
Resistance$12.40
MA 20$11.11
MA 50$11.59
MA 200$13.74
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.48
Valuation
Fair Value$8.61
Target Price$16.33
Upside/Downside36.57%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.77
Volatility45.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.