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TAX:NASDAQCambria Tax Aware ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time

$30.76

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Cambria Tax Aware ETF (TAX) is trading at $30.76, comfortably above its 20‑day ($30.35), 50‑day ($29.79) and 200‑day ($28.61) simple moving averages, indicating a solid bullish alignment. The 14‑day RSI sits at 57, suggesting momentum is still intact without being overbought, while the MACD histogram is marginally negative, flagging a slight bearish tilt in the short‑term oscillator. The broader market sentiment is reflected in a Fear & Greed Index of 92.13, labeled Extreme Greed, which can amplify price moves in the near term. Volatility over the past 30 days is high at 19.5%, and the ETF’s beta of 1.14 points to a tendency to outpace the market on upside and downside swings. Expense ratio is modest at 0.54%, and the fund carries no tracking error or discount/premium, underscoring efficient index replication. However, trading activity is extremely thin, with an average daily volume of just 100 shares and a current market volume of 11, raising concerns about execution risk.
Despite the liquidity constraints, the ETF’s tax‑aware strategy positions it well for investors seeking after‑tax return enhancement, especially in a high‑greed environment that may drive capital inflows. The recent price jump from $29.04 to $30.76 represents a robust short‑term gain, but the limited asset base ($25.5 M) and nascent history (inception Dec 2024) suggest a cautious approach until trading depth improves. Overall, the blend of bullish technical signals, low expense, and tax‑efficiency supports a positive outlook, tempered by liquidity and volatility considerations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major SMAs indicating bullish momentum
  • Extremely low trading volume creating execution risk
  • Slight bearish MACD histogram suggesting caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Tax‑aware positioning attractive for after‑tax returns
  • Low expense ratio enhances net performance
  • Continued bullish trend with supportive SMA hierarchy

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential for outperformance given beta >1 in rising markets
  • Tax efficiency aligns with long‑term wealth accumulation goals
  • Absence of tracking error ensures faithful index replication

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.54%
AUM$25.5M
Inception Date2024-12-17
Avg Daily Volume100
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.32%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.2
Support$28.87
Resistance$31.02
MA 20$30.35
MA 50$29.79
MA 200$28.61
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Risk Assessment

Beta1.14
Volatility19.49%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.