TAX:NASDAQCambria Tax Aware ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-04 - not real-time
$29.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Cambria Tax Aware ETF is trading at $29.5, just below the calculated resistance of $29.95 and the 52‑week high of $29.96. The 20‑day SMA ($29.07) sits above both the 50‑day ($28.22) and 200‑day ($28.07) averages, indicating a bullish medium‑term trend, while the RSI at 61 shows momentum remains positive but not yet overbought. However, the MACD line ($0.44) is marginally under the signal line ($0.45) and the histogram is negative, a subtle bearish signal. Volume has slipped to an average of 89 shares versus a 10‑day average of 440, pointing to thinning liquidity. The 30‑day volatility of nearly 21% and a beta of 1.12 highlight heightened price swings relative to the market, and the Fear & Greed index sits at an “Extreme Greed” level of 88.5, implying overly optimistic sentiment.
The fund’s expense ratio of 0.54% and zero tracking error are attractive for cost‑conscious investors, but the modest asset base of $22.5 million and low trading volume raise liquidity concerns, especially if a rapid exit is required. With a max drawdown of about 11% since inception and a modest dividend yield of 0.36%, the ETF offers limited downside protection. Overall, the technical picture is mixed: bullish trend indicators are offset by bearish momentum cues and fragile liquidity, suggesting a cautious approach.
The fund’s expense ratio of 0.54% and zero tracking error are attractive for cost‑conscious investors, but the modest asset base of $22.5 million and low trading volume raise liquidity concerns, especially if a rapid exit is required. With a max drawdown of about 11% since inception and a modest dividend yield of 0.36%, the ETF offers limited downside protection. Overall, the technical picture is mixed: bullish trend indicators are offset by bearish momentum cues and fragile liquidity, suggesting a cautious approach.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $29.95
- Bearish MACD crossover
- Decreasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA alignment (20‑day above 50‑day and 200‑day)
- RSI above 50 indicating sustained momentum
- Tax‑aware strategy offering potential after‑tax benefit
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Tax efficiency advantage for income‑focused investors
- Zero tracking error and low expense ratio
- Potential for upside as assets and liquidity grow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.54%
AUM$22.6M
Inception Date2024-12-17
Avg Daily Volume440
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.36%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.3
Support$27.36
Resistance$29.95
MA 20$29.07
MA 50$28.22
MA 200$28.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.48
Risk Assessment
Beta1.12
Volatility20.90%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.