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TAX:NASDAQCambria Tax Aware ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$30.69

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Cambria Tax Aware ETF (TAX) is trading at $30.69, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 30.74 and 50‑day SMA of 30.68, while still above the 200‑day SMA of 29.10, indicating a bullish medium‑term trajectory. Momentum is neutral with an RSI of 50.3, and the MACD has turned bearish (line –0.045 vs signal –0.017), suggesting short‑term caution near the current support at 30.20 and resistance at 31.46. Volatility over the past 30 days sits at 13.6% and beta is slightly elevated at 1.11, meaning the fund moves a touch more than the broader market and could see swings of up to a 10.9% drawdown if sentiment shifts. The market mood is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear & Greed Index 92.9) and volume is on an increasing trend, providing some upside momentum despite low absolute trading volumes.
Tax‑efficiency is becoming a compelling narrative, as highlighted by recent commentary on bespoke, tax‑aware vehicles attracting ultra‑wealthy investors seeking to defer or avoid capital gains. TAX’s modest expense ratio of 0.54% and near‑zero tracking error reinforce its appeal as a cost‑effective, tax‑focused exposure, though limited liquidity and a modest dividend yield (0.31%) warrant caution for larger positions.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support with bearish MACD
  • Low trading volume increasing liquidity risk
  • Neutral RSI suggesting no strong short‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish trend confirmed by SMA alignment
  • Rising volume and extreme‑greed market sentiment
  • Tax‑aware positioning attracting high‑net‑worth demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Moderate expense ratio and zero tracking error
  • Slightly elevated beta indicating higher market sensitivity
  • Sustained tax‑efficiency advantage in a growing niche

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.54%
AUM$26.4M
Inception Date2024-12-17
Avg Daily Volume1,260
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.31%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.3
Support$30.20
Resistance$31.46
MA 20$30.74
MA 50$30.68
MA 200$29.10
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Risk Assessment

Beta1.11
Volatility13.56%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.