T:NYSEAT&T Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$23.58
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AT&T is trading at $23.58, well below its 20‑day (≈24.1), 50‑day (≈25.3) and 200‑day (≈26.2) moving averages, signaling a bearish short‑term technical backdrop. The RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD histogram and a price hovering near the $22.32 support level reinforce downside pressure; however, volume is increasing and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at roughly 25%, though the stock’s beta is modestly negative, suggesting limited market‑wide correlation.
Fundamentally, AT&T appears markedly undervalued with a trailing P/E of 7.8 versus an industry average near 17, a solid dividend yield of 4.7% and a payout ratio under 40%, both pointing to dividend sustainability. Strong operating cash flow ($38.8 B) and free cash flow ($8.8 B) support the 18% ROE, while leverage is high (debt‑to‑equity >125) but offset by sizable cash reserves. Analysts rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target around $31, implying ~28% upside, and the recent Rivian 5G partnership adds a growth narrative amid an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment.
Fundamentally, AT&T appears markedly undervalued with a trailing P/E of 7.8 versus an industry average near 17, a solid dividend yield of 4.7% and a payout ratio under 40%, both pointing to dividend sustainability. Strong operating cash flow ($38.8 B) and free cash flow ($8.8 B) support the 18% ROE, while leverage is high (debt‑to‑equity >125) but offset by sizable cash reserves. Analysts rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target around $31, implying ~28% upside, and the recent Rivian 5G partnership adds a growth narrative amid an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price testing strong support at $22.32
- bearish MACD and SMA alignment
- high dividend yield provides downside buffer
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- undervalued valuation with P/E ~7.8 vs industry ~17
- analyst consensus target ~ $31 indicating ~28% upside
- Rivian 5G partnership expands growth potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- stable cash generation and sustainable dividend
- strong ROE and defensive telecom sector positioning
- long‑run upside to target price and value‑oriented profile
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.90%
Profit Margin16.94%
P/E Ratio7.8
ROE18.37%
ROA4.12%
Debt/Equity125.17
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$38.8B
Free Cash Flow$8.8B
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.0
Support$22.32
Resistance$25.43
MA 20$24.09
MA 50$25.29
MA 200$26.20
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$30.28
Upside/Downside28.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.71%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.25
Volatility25.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.