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SYY:NYSESysco Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$84.70

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sysco (SYY) is trading at $84.7, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 88.6 and the 200‑day SMA of 78.6, indicating a short‑term pullback within a broader bullish trend. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while the RSI sits at 43, suggesting neutral momentum and room for a modest rebound toward the $91.85 resistance. Volatility is elevated at 35.6% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.38 signals low market‑wide risk, and the stock’s dividend yield of 2.55% with a 57% payout appears sustainable given strong free cash flow. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $28.95 places the current price in the *overvalued* category, and the upside/downside estimate of just 7% underscores limited price appreciation potential.
Recent material news adds nuance: the CFO’s departure introduces a short‑term leadership transition, while a new nationwide distribution partnership with Reborn Coffee expands growth avenues in the coffee franchise segment. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a median target of $90, and short‑interest has risen to 3.4% of float, indicating modest bearish sentiment. Together, the defensive consumer‑staples positioning, solid dividend, and modest upside suggest a cautious but positive outlook for medium‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near recent support at $82.76
  • Bearish MACD signal and decreasing volume
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus buy with median target $90
  • Sustainable 2.55% dividend yield
  • New partnership expanding revenue streams

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive consumer‑staples sector resilience
  • Consistent cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
  • Valuation gap limiting long‑term upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.00%
Profit Margin2.18%
P/E Ratio22.8
ROE82.34%
ROA8.51%
Debt/Equity640.25
P/B Ratio17.8
Op. Cash Flow$2.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.3
Support$82.76
Resistance$91.85
MA 20$88.60
MA 50$82.16
MA 200$78.61
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.41

Valuation

Fair Value$28.95
Target Price$90.69
Upside/Downside7.07%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.39
Volatility35.57%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.