SW:NYSESmurfit WestRock plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-04 - not real-time
$45.85
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Smurfit Westrock Plc trades at $45.85, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 5.6%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 43.6 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Watch $44.41 as support and $50.52 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 48.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Analyst price targets sit 23.7% above the current price.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 37.7%, a beta of 1.48 and a maximum drawdown of 31.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — buy in the near term, hold further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 48.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Analyst price targets sit 23.7% above the current price.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 37.7%, a beta of 1.48 and a maximum drawdown of 31.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — buy in the near term, hold further out, at 4/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Smurfit Westrock plc NYSE:SW plans to release its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026 on...DUBLIN, July 15, 2026--Smurfit Westrock plc NYSE:SW plans to release its financial results for the second quarter ended...Smurfit Westrock SW doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 42.42
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 42.42
- Analyst targets imply +23.7% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +23.7% versus the current price
- P/E ratio of 48.8
- Price-to-book of 1.33
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.10%
Profit Margin1.59%
P/E Ratio48.8
ROE2.71%
ROA2.62%
Debt/Equity78.43
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$3.3B
Free Cash Flow$1.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.6
Support$44.41
Resistance$50.52
MA 20$48.03
MA 50$46.71
MA 200$42.42
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index96.05
Valuation
Fair Value$4.96
Target Price$56.72
Upside/Downside23.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.48
Volatility37.74%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.