SVT:LSESevern Trent Plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Severn Trent trades at 3,012 p, comfortably above its 20‑day (3,113.55 p) and 50‑day (3,111.55 p) SMAs but still below the 200‑day SMA (2,860.02 p), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 44, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD line is deep in bearish territory (-34.1) with a bearish signal line (-10.5), flagging potential downside pressure. Volume is decreasing and 30‑day volatility is high at 39 %, yet the beta is extremely low (≈0.03), underscoring the stock’s defensive nature. Fundamental metrics show a trailing PE of 28.7 versus an industry average of 21.4, a forward PE of 14.9, and a DCF‑derived fair value of 3,303 p, implying a modest upside of about 6.7 % from current levels. The dividend yield remains attractive at 4.2 % but the payout ratio exceeds 100 %, raising concerns about sustainability. Recent news highlights a 4‑5 % sell‑off tied to domestic political instability and broader inflationary pressures, which has pressured the share price despite the underlying regulated business model.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bearish MACD and recent political‑driven sell‑off
- Neutral RSI and decreasing volume
- Price still above key support at 2,844 p
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- DCF fair value suggests ~7 % upside
- Strong revenue growth (18 %) and solid operating margins
- Regulated utility model provides stable cash flows
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Long‑term defensive sector with low beta
- High dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio
- Potential regulatory changes and political risk in the UK
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.