SUPP:NASDAQTCW Transform Supply Chain ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time
$79.44
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At $79.44, TCW Transform Supply Chain ETF shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Relative strength is 46.7 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $76.96 and resistance around $84.20.
The 0.75% expense ratio is middling for its category, and the fund manages $11.8M in assets.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 25.8%, a beta of 1.52 and a maximum drawdown of 14.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 3 out of 10.
The 0.75% expense ratio is middling for its category, and the fund manages $11.8M in assets.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 25.8%, a beta of 1.52 and a maximum drawdown of 14.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Seeking Alpha2monTCW Transform Supply Chain ETF Q1 2026 CommentaryNet of fees, TCW Transform Supply Chain ETF returned...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 77.26
- MACD momentum is negative
- Beta of 1.52 versus the benchmark
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 77.26
- MACD momentum is negative
- Beta of 1.52 versus the benchmark
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Beta of 1.52 versus the benchmark
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
- 30-day volatility of 25.8%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$11.8M
Inception Date2023-02-14
Avg Daily Volume460
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.31%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.7
Support$76.96
Resistance$84.20
MA 20$80.34
MA 50$81.54
MA 200$77.26
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.36
Risk Assessment
Beta1.52
Volatility25.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.