SUI:CRYPTOCAPMarket Cap SUI, $ Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
$125.85
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sun Communities is trading above its 20‑day SMA but below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, signaling a short‑term pullback within a broader bearish bias. Volume is increasing and the MACD histogram is positive, offering a hint of bullish momentum that tempers the downside risk. However, the forward P/E sits near 44, well above the industry average of roughly 33, indicating that the stock is currently overvalued. The dividend yield of about 3.4% looks attractive, yet the payout ratio exceeds 400%, raising questions about the sustainability of the distribution.
Analyst consensus remains bullish with a mean price target near $140, implying modest upside potential despite the high valuation. The company’s revenue growth of roughly 8‑9% and solid cash flow provide a foundation, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 60% and a near‑zero ROE highlight balance‑sheet pressures. Low beta suggests limited market‑wide volatility, but a 30‑day price swing above 20% and a bearish trend direction elevate the overall risk profile.
Analyst consensus remains bullish with a mean price target near $140, implying modest upside potential despite the high valuation. The company’s revenue growth of roughly 8‑9% and solid cash flow provide a foundation, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 60% and a near‑zero ROE highlight balance‑sheet pressures. Low beta suggests limited market‑wide volatility, but a 30‑day price swing above 20% and a bearish trend direction elevate the overall risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages
- positive MACD histogram amid bearish trend
- high forward P/E relative to peers
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- analyst target price indicating ~12% upside
- steady revenue growth and strong operating cash flow
- attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- stable REIT business model with diversified geographic footprint
- persistent balance‑sheet leverage and low ROE
- valuation risk from elevated forward multiples
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.60%
Profit Margin59.65%
P/E Ratio44.6
ROE0.25%
ROA2.18%
Debt/Equity62.53
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$902.3M
Free Cash Flow$524.0M
Industry P/E33.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI53.8
Support$119.90
Resistance$128.61
MA 20$123.45
MA 50$126.01
MA 200$126.99
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.46
Valuation
Fair Value$47.33
Target Price$142.00
Upside/Downside12.83%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.43%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility20.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.