SU:TSXSuncor Energy Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-30 - not real-time
CA$91.09
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Suncor Energy Inc. is bullish at CAD 91.09, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. It has gained 6.8% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 51.9 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at CAD 83.59 and resistance at CAD 95.50.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 12.2 times earnings against the sector's 21.1. Analyst price targets sit 15.0% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 45.9% on a 15.8% profit margin. The 2.61% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 31.5%, a beta of -0.34 and a maximum drawdown of 20.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 9 out of 10.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 12.2 times earnings against the sector's 21.1. Analyst price targets sit 15.0% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 45.9% on a 15.8% profit margin. The 2.61% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 31.5%, a beta of -0.34 and a maximum drawdown of 20.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 9 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Second quarter results reshape the picture for Suncor Energy stock Suncor Energy TSX:SU is back in focus after...Suncor Energy stock has posted a very strong 5 year run, yet the current checks still point to a discount, with both...Suncor Energy TSX:SU announces major executive leadership transitions, including the future appointment of Peter...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 79.55
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 12.2 versus sector average of 21.1
- Trading above the 200-day average of 79.55
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 12.2 versus sector average of 21.1
- Analyst targets imply +15.0% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 15.8% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth45.90%
Profit Margin15.78%
P/E Ratio12.2
ROE19.25%
ROA8.58%
Debt/Equity30.48
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCA$15.8B
Free Cash FlowCA$9.2B
Industry P/E21.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.9
SupportCA$83.59
ResistanceCA$95.50
MA 20CA$90.84
MA 50CA$86.69
MA 200CA$79.55
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.66
Valuation
Fair ValueCA$265.93
Target PriceCA$104.75
Upside/Downside15.00%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.61%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.34
Volatility31.51%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.