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STXD:NYSEStrive 1000 Dividend Growth ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$39.87

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

STXD is trading at $39.87, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $39.44, 50‑day SMA of $39.16, and 200‑day SMA of $37.66, indicating a sustained uptrend. The RSI of 58 reinforces a moderate bullish momentum without signaling overbought conditions. A bullish MACD histogram (+0.018) and a MACD line above its signal line further confirm upward pressure. Price is perched just below the nearest resistance at $39.88, with a solid support floor near $39.01.
Fundamentally, the ETF delivers an 8.0% YTD return and a 13.9% three‑year annualized gain, while the expense ratio sits at a modest 0.35% and tracking error is effectively zero. Its beta of 0.81 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, and the 30‑day volatility of 11.5% is in line with a conservative profile. The maximum drawdown of –9.5% remains contained, and the dividend yield of 1.11% provides modest income. The Fear & Greed Index at 92.9 (Extreme Greed) reflects strong market optimism toward risk assets.
Liquidity is a consideration, as average daily volume hovers around 3‑4k shares, placing the fund in a medium‑liquidity bucket. Currency exposure is negligible, and the fund’s tracking precision and zero turnover keep tracking risk low. Overall risk is balanced by low beta and tight tracking, but the proximity to resistance and tapering volume suggest caution on short‑term entries. Given the blend of bullish technicals, solid fundamentals, and manageable risks, the ETF is positioned for continued upside over medium to long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $39.88
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Bullish technical indicators (SMA alignment, MACD, RSI)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • 8.0% YTD return and strong 3‑year performance
  • Low expense ratio of 0.35% and zero tracking error
  • Low beta (0.81) indicating reduced market volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend growth focus with 1.11% yield
  • Consistent historical returns and low drawdown
  • Stable structure with no currency exposure and low tracking risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.35%
AUM$67.2M
Inception Date2022-11-09
Avg Daily Volume2,190
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.11%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.1
Support$39.01
Resistance$39.88
MA 20$39.44
MA 50$39.16
MA 200$37.66
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility11.51%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.