STXD:NYSEStrive 1000 Dividend Growth ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$39.87
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
STXD is trading at $39.87, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $39.44, 50‑day SMA of $39.16, and 200‑day SMA of $37.66, indicating a sustained uptrend. The RSI of 58 reinforces a moderate bullish momentum without signaling overbought conditions. A bullish MACD histogram (+0.018) and a MACD line above its signal line further confirm upward pressure. Price is perched just below the nearest resistance at $39.88, with a solid support floor near $39.01.
Fundamentally, the ETF delivers an 8.0% YTD return and a 13.9% three‑year annualized gain, while the expense ratio sits at a modest 0.35% and tracking error is effectively zero. Its beta of 0.81 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, and the 30‑day volatility of 11.5% is in line with a conservative profile. The maximum drawdown of –9.5% remains contained, and the dividend yield of 1.11% provides modest income. The Fear & Greed Index at 92.9 (Extreme Greed) reflects strong market optimism toward risk assets.
Liquidity is a consideration, as average daily volume hovers around 3‑4k shares, placing the fund in a medium‑liquidity bucket. Currency exposure is negligible, and the fund’s tracking precision and zero turnover keep tracking risk low. Overall risk is balanced by low beta and tight tracking, but the proximity to resistance and tapering volume suggest caution on short‑term entries. Given the blend of bullish technicals, solid fundamentals, and manageable risks, the ETF is positioned for continued upside over medium to long horizons.
Fundamentally, the ETF delivers an 8.0% YTD return and a 13.9% three‑year annualized gain, while the expense ratio sits at a modest 0.35% and tracking error is effectively zero. Its beta of 0.81 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, and the 30‑day volatility of 11.5% is in line with a conservative profile. The maximum drawdown of –9.5% remains contained, and the dividend yield of 1.11% provides modest income. The Fear & Greed Index at 92.9 (Extreme Greed) reflects strong market optimism toward risk assets.
Liquidity is a consideration, as average daily volume hovers around 3‑4k shares, placing the fund in a medium‑liquidity bucket. Currency exposure is negligible, and the fund’s tracking precision and zero turnover keep tracking risk low. Overall risk is balanced by low beta and tight tracking, but the proximity to resistance and tapering volume suggest caution on short‑term entries. Given the blend of bullish technicals, solid fundamentals, and manageable risks, the ETF is positioned for continued upside over medium to long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $39.88
- Decreasing volume trend
- Bullish technical indicators (SMA alignment, MACD, RSI)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 8.0% YTD return and strong 3‑year performance
- Low expense ratio of 0.35% and zero tracking error
- Low beta (0.81) indicating reduced market volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Dividend growth focus with 1.11% yield
- Consistent historical returns and low drawdown
- Stable structure with no currency exposure and low tracking risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.35%
AUM$67.2M
Inception Date2022-11-09
Avg Daily Volume2,190
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.11%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.1
Support$39.01
Resistance$39.88
MA 20$39.44
MA 50$39.16
MA 200$37.66
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Risk Assessment
Beta0.81
Volatility11.51%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.