STWD:NYSEStarwood Property Trust Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time
$18.30
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Starwood Property Trust is trading near its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with a neutral technical outlook and a bullish MACD histogram. Fundamentally, the stock carries a double‑digit dividend yield and a price‑to‑book ratio around parity, while its price‑to‑earnings multiple sits well below the industry average.
The recent authorization of a $400 million share repurchase program and a stronger earnings outlook have bolstered investor sentiment, but the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Upcoming first‑quarter earnings will be pivotal, especially given the company’s exposure to credit conditions in the mortgage REIT space.
The recent authorization of a $400 million share repurchase program and a stronger earnings outlook have bolstered investor sentiment, but the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Upcoming first‑quarter earnings will be pivotal, especially given the company’s exposure to credit conditions in the mortgage REIT space.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical positioning with decreasing volume
- Upcoming earnings release could clarify outlook
- Share buyback adds short‑term price support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
- Buyback program signals confidence in capital allocation
- Valuation metrics suggest relative cheapness versus industry
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Exposure to credit cycles in mortgage financing
- Dividend payout ratio above sustainability threshold
- REIT regulatory constraints and interest‑rate sensitivity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth62.60%
Profit Margin75.11%
P/E Ratio15.9
ROE6.03%
ROA0.70%
Debt/Equity297.05
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$977.9M
Industry P/E33.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.4
Support$17.16
Resistance$18.48
MA 20$18.01
MA 50$17.79
MA 200$18.63
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09
Valuation
Fair Value$8.67
Target Price$20.57
Upside/Downside12.41%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield10.49%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility19.42%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.