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STT:NYSEState Street Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

$157.92

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

State Street Corporation trades at $157.92, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 152.17, 50‑day SMA of 142.28 and 200‑day SMA of 126.46, signalling a strong bullish bias in the price action. The RSI‑14 sits at 67.2, indicating momentum is still on the upside side, while the MACD histogram is marginally negative (-0.009) and the MACD signal line is flagged as bearish, suggesting a slight caution in the near‑term trend. A beta of 1.46 (quote) or 1.25 (computed) combined with a 30‑day volatility of 23.2% points to higher market‑risk exposure, and the decreasing volume trend further amplifies liquidity concerns. The stock’s dividend yield of 2.12% appears attractive, yet the payout ratio of 33% is strained by a negative operating cash flow of -$2.64 B and zero free cash flow, raising doubts about dividend sustainability. The forward PE of 11.43 versus a trailing PE of 16.05 and an industry average PE of 16.59 suggests the market is pricing in future earnings growth, aligning with the updated analyst fair‑value target of roughly $157–$161 per share.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price above all major SMAs
  • RSI in bullish zone
  • forward PE compression vs industry

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • high beta and volatility
  • decreasing volume trend
  • negative operating cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • unsustainable dividend payout
  • cash flow deficits
  • regulatory and sector risk exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.80%
Profit Margin21.30%
P/E Ratio16.0
ROE11.26%
ROA0.80%
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$-2640999936
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.2
Support$147.40
Resistance$159.31
MA 20$152.17
MA 50$142.28
MA 200$126.46
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Target Price$161.18
Upside/Downside2.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.12%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.25
Volatility23.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.