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STRV:NYSEStrive 500 ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time

$46.49

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

STRV continues to track the S&P 500 with a fully‑passive, diversified large‑cap blend, offering a very low expense ratio of 0.05% and essentially zero tracking error. Technically, the ETF is trading at 46.49, comfortably above its 20‑day (45.04), 50‑day (43.86) and 200‑day (43.36) SMAs, and the MACD remains bullish, suggesting momentum is still intact. However, the 14‑day RSI has climbed to 70.5, placing the fund in overbought territory and signaling a potential short‑term pull‑back as it approaches its 52‑week resistance of 46.72. Volume trends are decreasing, and 30‑day volatility sits near 17.6%, indicating that price swings could become more pronounced. The broader market sentiment is at an “Extreme Greed” level (91.09 on the Fear & Greed Index), which historically precedes heightened volatility. Despite a YTD decline of -4.64%, the ETF’s three‑year annualized return of about 22% and a modest dividend yield of 1.19% underscore its long‑term growth potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI overbought at 70.5
  • Price near 52‑week resistance
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major SMAs
  • Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
  • Broad S&P 500 exposure reduces sector risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Historical 3‑year annualized return ~22%
  • Stable dividend yield of 1.19%
  • Passive index strategy aligns with long‑term market growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio5.00%
AUM$951.2M
Inception Date2022-09-14
Avg Daily Volume44,800
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.19%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI70.5
Support$41.96
Resistance$46.72
MA 20$45.04
MA 50$43.86
MA 200$43.36
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Risk Assessment

Beta1.03
Volatility17.59%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.