STN:NYSEStantec Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$69.74
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Stantec Inc. (STN) is trading at $69.74, just above its calculated support of $69.47 and well below the 30‑day SMA of $74.04, indicating a potential upside bounce. The 14‑day RSI of 29.9 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD line has turned slightly bullish with a positive histogram, suggesting early momentum reversal. Volume is on an increasing trend, reinforcing the technical signal, though the 30‑day volatility remains high at over 40% and beta is near 0.95, underscoring a still‑risky price environment.
Fundamentally, STN appears undervalued: the DCF‑derived fair value of $107 far exceeds the current price, and its forward PE of 14.2 is well under the industry average of 31.2. Revenue is growing at 9.1% YoY with solid gross (54%) and operating margins, and the company generates strong free cash flow and a modest 21% dividend payout, making the dividend sustainable. The recent $85 million water‑infrastructure contract adds a tangible growth catalyst, supporting a medium‑term upside toward the $77.78 resistance level.
Fundamentally, STN appears undervalued: the DCF‑derived fair value of $107 far exceeds the current price, and its forward PE of 14.2 is well under the industry average of 31.2. Revenue is growing at 9.1% YoY with solid gross (54%) and operating margins, and the company generates strong free cash flow and a modest 21% dividend payout, making the dividend sustainable. The recent $85 million water‑infrastructure contract adds a tangible growth catalyst, supporting a medium‑term upside toward the $77.78 resistance level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Price near strong support level
- Bullish MACD histogram and rising volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
- Robust revenue growth and recent $85M contract win
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term cash‑flow generation and strong balance sheet
- Consistent dividend and low debt‑to‑equity profile
- Strategic positioning in sustainable infrastructure markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.10%
Profit Margin7.39%
P/E Ratio22.7
ROE15.28%
ROA6.63%
Debt/Equity76.67
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$759.9M
Free Cash Flow$739.2M
Industry P/E31.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI29.9
Support$69.47
Resistance$77.78
MA 20$74.04
MA 50$82.03
MA 200$95.31
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.52
Valuation
Fair Value$106.97
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.95%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility40.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.