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STLAM:MILStellantis N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-14 - not real-time

€5.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Stellantis trades well below its 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend despite a modest bullish signal from the MACD histogram. The RSI sits in the lower‑mid range, suggesting limited upside momentum, while the stock’s dividend yield is exceptionally high, eclipsing typical automotive peers. Fundamentally, the company reports negative earnings, slim gross and operating margins, and sizable negative cash flows, yet the forward PE appears attractive and the price‑to‑book ratio is deep in discount territory.
The balance sheet shows a high debt load relative to equity and a payout ratio near 85%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. With stable trading volume but elevated 30‑day volatility and a beta close to market, the stock presents a mixed technical picture against a backdrop of weak profitability and significant leverage.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages indicating continued downside pressure
  • High dividend yield offset by weak cash generation
  • Stable volume but elevated volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Negative earnings and cash flow suggest earnings recovery risk
  • Forward PE looks attractive but hinges on turnaround
  • Debt burden may constrain capital allocation

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Persistently negative margins and cash flow
  • High leverage and questionable dividend sustainability
  • Cyclical automotive exposure and regulatory headwinds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin-13.87%
P/E Ratio3.6
ROE-30.15%
ROA-1.63%
Debt/Equity78.66
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow€-4521999872
Free Cash Flow€-5823000064

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.0
Support€4.59
Resistance€5.91
MA 20€5.12
MA 50€5.89
MA 200€7.46
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.05

Valuation

Target Price€7.16
Upside/Downside43.28%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield11.13%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.97
Volatility43.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.