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STLAM:MILStellantis N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-25 - not real-time

€5.02

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Stellantis trades well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages, confirming a bearish price bias, while the RSI sits near the mid‑range at 42, suggesting limited upside momentum. Technical signals are mixed: the MACD line has crossed above its signal, offering a faint bullish hint, yet the histogram remains thin and volume is on a downtrend, underscoring weakening participation. Fundamentally, the company is distressed – it reports negative earnings, a profit margin in the double‑digit negative range, and sizable debt relative to equity, with operating and free cash flow both in the red. The dividend yield looks attractive at over 11%, but a payout ratio above 80% on a cash‑negative balance sheet raises serious sustainability concerns. The recent announcement of a China‑made Jeep slated for European launch by 2030 could provide a catalyst for future revenue growth, but this benefit is long‑term and uncertain.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Decreasing volume and weak momentum
  • Unsustainable dividend payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential revenue lift from China‑made Jeep rollout
  • Continued cash‑flow deficits
  • High debt burden limiting flexibility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation still deep discount to book and sales multiples
  • Long‑term structural challenges in the auto sector
  • Unclear path to profitability despite strategic initiatives

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin-13.87%
P/E Ratio3.8
ROE-30.15%
ROA-1.63%
Debt/Equity78.66
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow€-4521999872
Free Cash Flow€-5823000064

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.2
Support€4.59
Resistance€5.27
MA 20€5.00
MA 50€5.67
MA 200€7.32
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.25

Valuation

Target Price€6.95
Upside/Downside38.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield11.13%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.00
Volatility42.44%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.