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SQN:SIXSwissquote Group Holding Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

CHF 405.60

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Swissquote is trading below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, signaling a bearish bias. The short‑term SMA sits under the medium‑term SMA, reinforcing the downtrend. However, the MACD histogram has turned positive and the MACD line sits above its signal, suggesting emerging bullish momentum. The price remains above a well‑defined support zone, providing a floor for downside risk. Resistance is clustered near the recent high, offering a clear target if buying pressure resumes.
Volatility over the past month has been elevated, reflecting sizable price swings. The stock’s beta is modest, indicating limited sensitivity to broader market moves. On the fundamentals side, Swissquote delivers robust profitability with operating margins near half of revenue. Revenue growth continues at a healthy pace, outpacing the sector average. Return on equity is strong, supported by a solid cash pile and a conservative debt profile. The dividend yield is modest but the payout ratio is low, making the payout sustainable. A discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well above the current market price, implying a sizable upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term SMA
  • MACD histogram turning positive
  • proximity to support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued relative to discounted cash‑flow
  • strong operating margins
  • sustainable dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • robust cash position
  • low debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • growth potential in digital banking and crypto services

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.80%
Profit Margin42.19%
P/E Ratio19.9
ROE28.11%
ROA2.40%
Debt/Equity24.25
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash FlowCHF2.2B
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.4
SupportCHF 395.40
ResistanceCHF 428.80
MA 20CHF 410.36
MA 50CHF 438.24
MA 200CHF 483.27
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.07

Valuation

Fair ValueCHF 2,850.23
Target PriceCHF 503.82
Upside/Downside24.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility34.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.