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SPNT:NYSESiriusPoint Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-10 - not real-time

$24.65

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SiriusPoint (SPNT) is trading at $24.65, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (23.75) and 50‑day SMA (23.08) while still below the 52‑week high of $25, indicating a bullish short‑term trend supported by a 64‑point RSI and a bullish MACD histogram. Technical indicators are reinforced by a solid support level at $22.59 and a modest upside to the $25 resistance, suggesting limited near‑term price appreciation but a stable platform for further gains.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a PE of 6.2 versus an industry average of 17.6, boasts a ROE of 23%, and carries more cash ($975M) than debt ($703M), delivering a strong combined ratio of 88.9% in Q1 2026. Recent strategic moves—including the launch of a Crisis Solutions platform and the formation of a Fine Art & Specie team—signal diversification and potential revenue growth, while management highlighted $71M of underwriting income and lower catastrophe volatility.
The stock’s beta is low (≈0.14), volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 32%, and the Fear & Greed Index sits at “Extreme Greed,” reflecting market optimism. Together, these factors paint a picture of an undervalued, financially resilient insurer with upside potential but exposure to insurance‑specific cyclicality.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near short‑term resistance at $25
  • Bullish technical momentum but limited upside
  • Stable trading volume and low beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation metrics (PE 6.2 vs industry 17.6)
  • Improved underwriting profitability and strong combined ratio
  • Strategic expansion via Crisis Solutions and Fine Art & Specie

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust balance sheet with net cash position
  • High ROE and consistent earnings generation
  • Potential upside toward analyst target price of $27

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin16.51%
P/E Ratio6.2
ROE23.11%
ROA2.38%
Debt/Equity30.52
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$333.2M
Free Cash Flow$467.2M
Industry P/E17.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI64.0
Support$22.59
Resistance$25.00
MA 20$23.75
MA 50$23.08
MA 200$21.19
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.59

Valuation

Fair Value$70.88
Target Price$27.00
Upside/Downside9.53%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility32.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.