SPIR:NYSESpire Global, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$21.16
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The share price of $21.16 sits just below the computed resistance of $21.68 and well above the 20‑day SMA of $18.13, while RSI at 61 and a bullish MACD histogram confirm short‑term momentum.
Nevertheless, the company posted a 33 % revenue decline to $63.5 M, operating margin of –149 % and negative EBITDA of $‑74 M, with a DCF fair value of $4.33 and a debt‑to‑equity of 12.9, indicating the market price is materially overvalued; high beta (>3), 30‑day volatility of 108 % and a –50 % max drawdown amplify risk, even as Q1 guidance beat expectations and a new Amadeus integration could drive second‑half upside.
Nevertheless, the company posted a 33 % revenue decline to $63.5 M, operating margin of –149 % and negative EBITDA of $‑74 M, with a DCF fair value of $4.33 and a debt‑to‑equity of 12.9, indicating the market price is materially overvalued; high beta (>3), 30‑day volatility of 108 % and a –50 % max drawdown amplify risk, even as Q1 guidance beat expectations and a new Amadeus integration could drive second‑half upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- technical bullishness (price above SMA, RSI >50, MACD positive)
- high volatility and drawdown risk
- weak earnings and negative margins
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Q1 revenue guidance beat
- Amadeus integration unlocking second‑half revenue
- bullish technicals
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value far below price
- sustained high beta and debt load
- lack of dividend and negative forward EPS
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-33.70%
Profit Margin77.12%
P/E Ratio13.3
ROE101.23%
ROA-27.19%
Debt/Equity12.90
P/B Ratio6.2
Op. Cash Flow$-77611000
Free Cash Flow$10.0M
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.0
Support$15.15
Resistance$21.68
MA 20$18.13
MA 50$16.69
MA 200$11.63
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.57
Valuation
Fair Value$4.33
Target Price$20.38
Upside/Downside-3.71%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta3.38
Volatility107.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.