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SPHR:NYSESphere Entertainment Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$129.37

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sphere Entertainment is trading above its short‑term moving average while staying below its longer‑term trend line, indicating a bullish price structure. The relative strength index sits near the neutral zone, suggesting limited momentum pressure. A bearish MACD histogram signals potential short‑term downside, yet the recent earnings release beat expectations, providing a catalyst for upside. Support sits just below the current price, with the next resistance level well above, offering a wide upside corridor. Volatility is elevated and beta exceeds the market, reflecting a higher risk profile. Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings multiple far above the industry average, but a discounted cash‑flow model implies substantial intrinsic value upside. Revenue growth remains robust, driven by both live‑experience and streaming segments, while profitability margins are modest.
The company carries a moderate debt load and no dividend, limiting income‑focused appeal. Market sentiment is in an extreme greed phase, which could inflate short‑term buying pressure. Given the blend of strong top‑line growth, a sizable valuation gap, and heightened volatility, investors should weigh the upside potential against the risk of price swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat providing momentum
  • Price positioned above short‑term average with support nearby
  • Wide upside corridor before next resistance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth outpacing peers
  • Valuation gap versus intrinsic value
  • Modest profitability and elevated volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term DCF suggests significant intrinsic upside
  • Strategic positioning in live entertainment and streaming
  • Strong top‑line growth despite current margin pressures

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth37.70%
Profit Margin8.58%
P/E Ratio43.4
ROE5.46%
ROA-0.97%
Debt/Equity41.74
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$373.2M
Free Cash Flow$420.4M
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.6
Support$124.11
Resistance$149.00
MA 20$135.54
MA 50$126.95
MA 200$90.29
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.77

Valuation

Fair Value$409.15
Target Price$161.00
Upside/Downside24.45%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.42
Volatility49.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.