SPCE:NYSEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time
$2.92
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. trades at $2.92, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 14.1%. With RSI at 47.1 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch $2.85 as support and $3.47 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. The average analyst target implies 21.9% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 67.0%.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 56.8%, a beta of 2.21 and a maximum drawdown of 67.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. The average analyst target implies 21.9% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 67.0%.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 56.8%, a beta of 2.21 and a maximum drawdown of 67.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. NYSE: SPCE touted a path to nearly $1 billion in annual revenue as it scales its fleet...Benzinga.com1monVirgin Galactic Holdings Earnings & ForecastsVirgin Galactic Holdings SPCE last issued guidance on May...Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc SPCE posted its second-quarter results after Wednesday’s closing bell.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3.03
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +14.1%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3.03
- Analyst targets imply +21.9% versus the current price
- 30-day volatility of 56.8%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +21.9% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -75.1%
- Revenue contracting at -67.0%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-67.00%
P/E Ratio-4.7
ROE-75.13%
ROA-18.98%
Debt/Equity66.98
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$-212451008
Free Cash Flow$-295968000
Industry P/E28.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.1
Support$2.85
Resistance$3.47
MA 20$3.03
MA 50$2.85
MA 200$3.03
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Valuation
Target Price$3.56
Upside/Downside21.92%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.21
Volatility56.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.