SPAM:NASDAQThemes Cybersecurity ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-02 - not real-time
$32.16
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Themes Cybersecurity ETF (SPAM) is currently trading at $32.16, comfortably above its 20‑day ($30.93) and 50‑day ($29.95) simple moving averages and just north of the 200‑day average ($31.98), indicating short‑term bullish momentum. RSI sits at 60.3, suggesting the fund is not yet overbought, while the MACD line is bullish with a modest positive histogram, reinforcing the upward bias. However, the volume trend is decreasing, with daily trades around 481 shares versus a 10‑day average of 800, flagging potential liquidity constraints. The fund’s beta of 1.16 points to higher volatility than the broader market, and a 30‑day volatility of 36.5% underscores this risk. Despite a modest expense ratio of 0.35%, the ETF posted a YTD return of -6.0% and a max drawdown of -24.4%, reflecting recent market softness in the cybersecurity sector. The Fear & Greed Index at 91 (Extreme Greed) signals strong market optimism, which could fuel short‑term price lifts but also heighten the risk of a correction. Overall, the fund sits near its resistance level of $32.53, with support at $28.33, suggesting limited upside unless broader sector sentiment improves.
Given the fund’s narrow thematic focus, it carries a high sector concentration risk, and the low trading volume translates to medium liquidity risk. The absence of tracking error and a zero premium/discount indicate tight alignment with its benchmark, but the fund’s short history (inception Dec 2023) limits long‑term performance data. Investors should weigh the bullish technical setup against the negative YTD performance, high beta, and sector‑specific headwinds highlighted in recent news about cybersecurity ETFs facing a downturn.
Given the fund’s narrow thematic focus, it carries a high sector concentration risk, and the low trading volume translates to medium liquidity risk. The absence of tracking error and a zero premium/discount indicate tight alignment with its benchmark, but the fund’s short history (inception Dec 2023) limits long‑term performance data. Investors should weigh the bullish technical setup against the negative YTD performance, high beta, and sector‑specific headwinds highlighted in recent news about cybersecurity ETFs facing a downturn.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages supports a neutral stance
- Decreasing volume limits immediate buying pressure
- Negative YTD return and sector‑wide downturn raise caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and RSI indicate technical strength
- Cybersecurity spending is expected to accelerate despite short‑term pullback
- Low expense ratio and zero tracking error enhance cost efficiency
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for cyber defense drives long‑term growth potential
- Higher beta offers upside in market rallies
- Current price near 52‑week low provides margin of safety
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.35%
AUM$2.3M
Inception Date2023-12-07
Avg Daily Volume800
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.52%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI60.3
Support$28.33
Resistance$32.53
MA 20$30.93
MA 50$29.95
MA 200$31.98
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09
Risk Assessment
Beta1.16
Volatility36.51%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.