SPAM:NASDAQThemes Cybersecurity ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-15 - not real-time
$38.80
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Themes Cybersecurity ETF (SPAM) has delivered a robust YTD return of over 30% while trading near its 20‑day SMA (38.78) above the 50‑day (34.79) and 200‑day (32.77) averages, indicating a clear bullish bias. Momentum remains neutral‑to‑positive with an RSI of 56.9 and price comfortably above the identified support at 36.24, though the MACD has turned bearish and volume is trending down, suggesting short‑term caution. High volatility (≈37% 30‑day) and a beta of 1.20 amplify price swings, and the fund’s expense ratio of 0.35% is modest for an actively themed product. Investor sentiment is at a fever pitch, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 92.5 (“Extreme Greed”), and recent media attention highlights the fund’s outsized performance relative to the broader market.
Given its single‑sector focus, the ETF carries elevated sector concentration risk, but the absence of tracking error and a modest dividend yield (0.38%) provide some stability. Liquidity remains limited—average daily volumes hover in the low‑thousands—so large trades could impact price. Overall, the fund’s strong upside potential is tempered by heightened volatility, concentration, and liquidity considerations.
Given its single‑sector focus, the ETF carries elevated sector concentration risk, but the absence of tracking error and a modest dividend yield (0.38%) provide some stability. Liquidity remains limited—average daily volumes hover in the low‑thousands—so large trades could impact price. Overall, the fund’s strong upside potential is tempered by heightened volatility, concentration, and liquidity considerations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential pullback
- Decreasing volume trend reducing short‑term momentum
- Proximity to support level at 36.24 offering downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance and bullish SMA alignment
- Sector tailwinds in cybersecurity spending
- Extreme greed sentiment supporting continued inflows
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fund’s thematic focus on a high‑growth technology niche
- Low tracking error and modest expense ratio enhancing net returns
- Beta above 1 suggesting outsized gains if the sector outperforms
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.35%
AUM$3.2M
Inception Date2023-12-07
Avg Daily Volume5,450
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.38%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.9
Support$36.24
Resistance$42.76
MA 20$38.78
MA 50$34.79
MA 200$32.77
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.5
Risk Assessment
Beta1.20
Volatility36.99%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.