SOXX:NASDAQiShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor Sector Index Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$504.89
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SOXX has delivered a spectacular 113% YTD gain, pushing the price to $504.89, yet it now sits below its 20‑day SMA of $539 and the 50‑day SMA of $568, signaling a short‑term pullback. The RSI of 42.6 and a bearish MACD histogram (-5.81) reinforce the neutral‑to‑slight‑downward momentum, while the fund’s beta of 2.57 and 30‑day volatility of 69% highlight pronounced price swings.
Liquidity remains robust with an increasing volume trend and average daily volumes around 11 million shares, and tracking risk is negligible (tracking error = 0). The expense ratio of 0.34% is modest for a sector‑focused ETF, but the concentration in semiconductor equities creates a high sector‑specific risk. Fundamentals and market sentiment are bullish: the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 92.9, and AI‑driven chip demand continues to fuel optimism, though notable short‑interest from figures like Michael Burry adds a contrarian caution.
Liquidity remains robust with an increasing volume trend and average daily volumes around 11 million shares, and tracking risk is negligible (tracking error = 0). The expense ratio of 0.34% is modest for a sector‑focused ETF, but the concentration in semiconductor equities creates a high sector‑specific risk. Fundamentals and market sentiment are bullish: the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 92.9, and AI‑driven chip demand continues to fuel optimism, though notable short‑interest from figures like Michael Burry adds a contrarian caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages suggests limited upside in the next few weeks
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI indicate potential for a modest correction
- Strong liquidity and zero tracking error provide a stable platform for a hold stance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Continued AI‑chip demand is expected to lift semiconductor earnings
- Historical outperformance (140% trailing‑year gain) shows upside potential
- Increasing volume trend supports confidence in sustained buying pressure
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Semiconductor sector’s secular growth trajectory aligns with long‑term technology adoption
- Low tracking error and modest expense ratio enhance total‑return efficiency
- Despite high beta, diversification across leading chipmakers mitigates single‑company risk over a multi‑year horizon
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.34%
AUM$47.8B
Inception Date2001-07-10
Avg Daily Volume11,820,600
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.23%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.6
Support$464.08
Resistance$598.00
MA 20$539.00
MA 50$567.67
MA 200$402.86
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Risk Assessment
Beta2.57
Volatility69.01%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.