SOUN:NASDAQSoundHound AI, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-02 - not real-time
$9.56
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
SoundHound AI (SOUN) is trading at $9.56, just below its short‑term resistance of $9.60 while the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (≈$7.62 and $7.54) sit well under the current price, indicating recent price momentum. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI of 68 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, yet the MACD histogram remains positive with a bullish crossover, supporting a continuation bias. Volume is accelerating, and the market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong short‑term demand.
Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating and net margins, a steep -72% max drawdown, and a negative forward PE of -956, underscoring profitability challenges. However, analysts remain optimistic, assigning a “strong_buy” recommendation and a median 12‑month target of $14.5, implying a potential upside of over 50%. The balance sheet is relatively sound with $248 M cash versus $4.4 M debt, but cash burn persists (negative operating cash flow). Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 7 will be pivotal in confirming whether the growth narrative can offset the weak earnings profile.
Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating and net margins, a steep -72% max drawdown, and a negative forward PE of -956, underscoring profitability challenges. However, analysts remain optimistic, assigning a “strong_buy” recommendation and a median 12‑month target of $14.5, implying a potential upside of over 50%. The balance sheet is relatively sound with $248 M cash versus $4.4 M debt, but cash burn persists (negative operating cash flow). Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 7 will be pivotal in confirming whether the growth narrative can offset the weak earnings profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with RSI approaching overbought
- Upcoming earnings announcement adds uncertainty
- Bullish MACD but high 30‑day volatility (~94%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus strong‑buy and median target price $14.5
- Strong cash position relative to minimal debt
- Growing revenue (+59% YoY) despite negative margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Expanding voice AI addressable market across automotive, IoT, and enterprise
- Strategic product suite (Houndify, generative Chat AI) positioning for future growth
- Potential to improve profitability as scale and AI adoption increase
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth59.40%
Profit Margin-8.29%
P/E Ratio-956.0
ROE-4.33%
ROA-18.15%
Debt/Equity0.94
P/B Ratio8.7
Op. Cash Flow$-98222000
Free Cash Flow$-18346124
Industry P/E38.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI68.7
Support$6.22
Resistance$9.60
MA 20$7.62
MA 50$7.54
MA 200$11.67
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09
Valuation
Target Price$14.63
Upside/Downside52.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.62
Volatility94.32%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.