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SOR:NYSESource Capital, Inc. Cmn Shs of BI Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-02 - not real-time

$46.45

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Source Capital (SOR) is trading at $46.45, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 46.04 and just below the 50‑day SMA of 46.45, indicating a neutral but slightly supportive price stance. The RSI of 53.5 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the MACD histogram (+0.059) and bullish signal point to modest upward momentum. With a support level at $44.20 and a resistance at $47.57, the current price sits near the lower end of the range, offering upside potential if buying pressure resumes. Volume trends are decreasing, which may temper short‑term liquidity, but the fund trades at zero discount/premium, reinforcing price stability. The fund’s dividend yield of 5.38% combined with a low trailing P/E of 6.42 and a price‑to‑book below 1 (0.96) present an attractive income and valuation profile. A low beta of 0.49 indicates reduced market sensitivity, and the 30‑day volatility of 18.7% remains moderate. The recent announcement of maintaining the regular monthly distribution for June‑August 2026 underscores a consistent cash‑flow policy, aligning with the fund’s income‑focused positioning. Meanwhile, the Fear & Greed Index at 91.09 (Extreme Greed) reflects a broadly optimistic market environment, which could support continued demand for high‑yield assets like SOR. Overall, the confluence of stable pricing, solid yield, and defensive risk metrics suggests a cautiously positive outlook, albeit with attention to the declining volume trend.
Given these dynamics, investors may consider SOR as a modestly bullish play for income‑oriented portfolios, while monitoring liquidity and broader market sentiment for any shifts that could affect short‑term price action.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD signal with modest upside to resistance
  • High dividend yield of 5.38% supporting income appeal
  • Zero discount/premium indicating price stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent monthly distribution policy
  • Low beta (0.49) suggesting defensive characteristics
  • Attractive valuation metrics (P/E 6.4, P/B 0.96)

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained income generation through stable distributions
  • Defensive risk profile with low market sensitivity
  • Potential for price appreciation if market sentiment remains bullish

Key Metrics & Analysis

Closed-End Fund Metrics

Market Price46.45
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI53.5
Support$44.20
Resistance$47.57
MA 20$46.04
MA 50$46.45
MA 200$46.07
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility18.65%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.