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SOR:NYSESource Capital, Inc. Cmn Shs of BI Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$45.25

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Source Capital (SOR) is trading at $45.25, comfortably below its 20‑day ($45.33), 50‑day ($45.80) and 200‑day ($46.33) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits at 45.3, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is modestly positive despite both the MACD line (-0.14) and signal line (-0.16) remaining in negative territory, suggesting limited upside momentum. Volume has been decreasing and 30‑day volatility is about 9%, but the fund’s beta of 0.46 points to lower systematic risk. A recent max drawdown of roughly 9.8% and an “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear & Greed Index (89.86) reflect heightened market optimism that may be inflating price.
On the valuation side, SOR offers an attractive PE ratio of 6.25 and a price‑to‑book of 0.94, both well below typical equity averages, while delivering a robust dividend yield of 5.5%. The fund currently trades at parity with NAV (no discount or premium), indicating a stable discount trend. Combined with low beta and modest volatility, the overall risk profile is subdued, supporting a more favorable outlook for medium‑ to long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • High dividend yield providing cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation (PE 6.25, P/B 0.94)
  • Stable discount/premium relationship
  • Low beta and moderate volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high dividend yield
  • Fundamentally low risk profile
  • Potential for price re‑rating toward NAV

Key Metrics & Analysis

Closed-End Fund Metrics

Market Price45.25
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.3
Support$44.75
Resistance$46.28
MA 20$45.33
MA 50$45.80
MA 200$46.33
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility9.09%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.