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SONY:NYSESony Group Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$20.38

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sony (SONY) trades around $20.38, just above its calculated support of $20.26, while the 20‑day SMA (≈$21.80) and 50‑day SMA (≈$21.29) sit higher, indicating a short‑term price gap that could be filled. Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI near 38, suggesting modest oversold pressure but no strong momentum reversal yet. Fundamentally, revenue is growing at a healthy 15% year‑over‑year, driven by a shift in the gaming segment toward software, network services and platform monetization, as highlighted in recent news. The company’s DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $5,877 implies a potential upside of about 44%, and the current price‑to‑earnings ratio of 19 is well below the industry average of 37, reinforcing an undervaluation case. However, profit margins remain negative (‑2.6%) and free cash flow is currently a drain, while the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~19.6, tempering enthusiasm.
The stock benefits from a strong brand, diversified revenue streams, and a “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (92), but faces elevated volatility (≈39% 30‑day) and a beta near 1, indicating market‑aligned risk. Liquidity is waning as volume trends down, and the lack of dividend payout removes income‑focused appeal. Overall, the upside potential is compelling for longer horizons, but short‑term caution is warranted until price action confirms a bounce from support.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above technical support
  • Bearish MACD and neutral trend
  • Potential bounce from oversold RSI

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth from gaming services
  • Negative profit margin and free cash flow pressure
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting flexibility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF implied upside of ~44% versus current price
  • Shift toward high‑margin software and network services
  • Valuation multiple well below industry peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.40%
Profit Margin-2.62%
P/E Ratio19.0
ROE12.37%
ROA3.71%
Debt/Equity19.61
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$1945.6B
Free Cash Flow$-282762608640
Industry P/E37.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.7
Support$20.26
Resistance$23.28
MA 20$21.80
MA 50$21.29
MA 200$24.63
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.11

Valuation

Fair Value$5,876.58
Target Price$29.38
Upside/Downside44.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.05
Volatility38.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.