SONY:NYSESony Group Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$20.38
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sony (SONY) trades around $20.38, just above its calculated support of $20.26, while the 20‑day SMA (≈$21.80) and 50‑day SMA (≈$21.29) sit higher, indicating a short‑term price gap that could be filled. Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI near 38, suggesting modest oversold pressure but no strong momentum reversal yet. Fundamentally, revenue is growing at a healthy 15% year‑over‑year, driven by a shift in the gaming segment toward software, network services and platform monetization, as highlighted in recent news. The company’s DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $5,877 implies a potential upside of about 44%, and the current price‑to‑earnings ratio of 19 is well below the industry average of 37, reinforcing an undervaluation case. However, profit margins remain negative (‑2.6%) and free cash flow is currently a drain, while the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~19.6, tempering enthusiasm.
The stock benefits from a strong brand, diversified revenue streams, and a “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (92), but faces elevated volatility (≈39% 30‑day) and a beta near 1, indicating market‑aligned risk. Liquidity is waning as volume trends down, and the lack of dividend payout removes income‑focused appeal. Overall, the upside potential is compelling for longer horizons, but short‑term caution is warranted until price action confirms a bounce from support.
The stock benefits from a strong brand, diversified revenue streams, and a “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (92), but faces elevated volatility (≈39% 30‑day) and a beta near 1, indicating market‑aligned risk. Liquidity is waning as volume trends down, and the lack of dividend payout removes income‑focused appeal. Overall, the upside potential is compelling for longer horizons, but short‑term caution is warranted until price action confirms a bounce from support.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above technical support
- Bearish MACD and neutral trend
- Potential bounce from oversold RSI
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth from gaming services
- Negative profit margin and free cash flow pressure
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting flexibility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF implied upside of ~44% versus current price
- Shift toward high‑margin software and network services
- Valuation multiple well below industry peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.40%
Profit Margin-2.62%
P/E Ratio19.0
ROE12.37%
ROA3.71%
Debt/Equity19.61
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$1945.6B
Free Cash Flow$-282762608640
Industry P/E37.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.7
Support$20.26
Resistance$23.28
MA 20$21.80
MA 50$21.29
MA 200$24.63
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.11
Valuation
Fair Value$5,876.58
Target Price$29.38
Upside/Downside44.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.05
Volatility38.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.