SOHOB:NASDAQSotherly Hotels Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-02 - not real-time
$15.50
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Sotherly Hotels (SOHOB) trades around $15.5, just above its 20‑day SMA (15.62) but below the 50‑day SMA (16.38), indicating a modest short‑term weakness. The RSI sits near 48, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD line is marginally above its signal, providing a faint bullish signal. However, the 30‑day volatility is extremely high at ~84% and volume is on a decreasing trend, reflecting fragile market participation. The Fear & Greed Index is in the "Extreme Greed" zone, implying that broader market sentiment may be overly optimistic despite the stock’s shaky fundamentals.
Fundamentally, the REIT reports a negative profit margin (-4.36%) and a trailing EPS of -$1.66, with a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio over 1,200, highlighting severe leverage concerns. The book value per share is negative, resulting in a -4.84 PB ratio, and the payout ratio is effectively zero, making the 12.9% dividend yield appear unsustainable. Positive free cash flow (~$22.8 M) offers a modest cushion, yet the recent board decision to voluntarily delist its preferred stock signals potential restructuring and adds uncertainty to the capital structure.
Fundamentally, the REIT reports a negative profit margin (-4.36%) and a trailing EPS of -$1.66, with a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio over 1,200, highlighting severe leverage concerns. The book value per share is negative, resulting in a -4.84 PB ratio, and the payout ratio is effectively zero, making the 12.9% dividend yield appear unsustainable. Positive free cash flow (~$22.8 M) offers a modest cushion, yet the recent board decision to voluntarily delist its preferred stock signals potential restructuring and adds uncertainty to the capital structure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Very high short‑term volatility (≈84% 30‑day)
- Decreasing trading volume and neutral price trend
- Dividend yield likely unsustainable given negative earnings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential capital restructuring after preferred‑stock delisting
- Positive free cash flow provides limited cushion
- Continued leverage pressure limits upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Persistent negative profitability and ROE
- Excessive debt load (debt‑to‑equity >1200)
- Uncertain outlook for hotel‑focused REITs in a volatile travel environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.10%
Profit Margin-4.36%
ROE-22.27%
ROA2.13%
Debt/Equity1226.80
P/B Ratio-4.8
Op. Cash Flow$10.3M
Free Cash Flow$22.8M
Industry P/E33.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.3
Support$10.17
Resistance$17.92
MA 20$15.62
MA 50$16.38
MA 200$15.46
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield12.90%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.57
Volatility83.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.