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SOHOB:NASDAQSotherly Hotels Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-02 - not real-time

$15.50

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Sotherly Hotels (SOHOB) trades around $15.5, just above its 20‑day SMA (15.62) but below the 50‑day SMA (16.38), indicating a modest short‑term weakness. The RSI sits near 48, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD line is marginally above its signal, providing a faint bullish signal. However, the 30‑day volatility is extremely high at ~84% and volume is on a decreasing trend, reflecting fragile market participation. The Fear & Greed Index is in the "Extreme Greed" zone, implying that broader market sentiment may be overly optimistic despite the stock’s shaky fundamentals.
Fundamentally, the REIT reports a negative profit margin (-4.36%) and a trailing EPS of -$1.66, with a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio over 1,200, highlighting severe leverage concerns. The book value per share is negative, resulting in a -4.84 PB ratio, and the payout ratio is effectively zero, making the 12.9% dividend yield appear unsustainable. Positive free cash flow (~$22.8 M) offers a modest cushion, yet the recent board decision to voluntarily delist its preferred stock signals potential restructuring and adds uncertainty to the capital structure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Very high short‑term volatility (≈84% 30‑day)
  • Decreasing trading volume and neutral price trend
  • Dividend yield likely unsustainable given negative earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential capital restructuring after preferred‑stock delisting
  • Positive free cash flow provides limited cushion
  • Continued leverage pressure limits upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent negative profitability and ROE
  • Excessive debt load (debt‑to‑equity >1200)
  • Uncertain outlook for hotel‑focused REITs in a volatile travel environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.10%
Profit Margin-4.36%
ROE-22.27%
ROA2.13%
Debt/Equity1226.80
P/B Ratio-4.8
Op. Cash Flow$10.3M
Free Cash Flow$22.8M
Industry P/E33.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.3
Support$10.17
Resistance$17.92
MA 20$15.62
MA 50$16.38
MA 200$15.46
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield12.90%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.57
Volatility83.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.