We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

SOHOB:NASDAQSotherly Hotels Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$10.79

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Sotherly Hotels (SOHOB) is trapped in a pronounced bearish technical environment: the 20‑day SMA (12.18) sits well below both the 50‑day (14.02) and 200‑day (15.14) averages, the RSI is at 35 indicating oversold conditions, and the MACD histogram is negative, confirming downward momentum. Volume is decreasing and the price is edging toward a support level near $0.10, while resistance sits around $16.01, suggesting limited upside in the near term. The stock exhibits extreme 30‑day volatility (>140%) and a beta of 0.53, implying that price swings are large but less correlated with the broader market. Fundamentally, the REIT carries a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 1,200, a negative profit margin (-4.36%) and a trailing EPS of -1.66, underscoring earnings weakness. Although the dividend yield appears attractive at 18.18%, the payout ratio is effectively zero and earnings are negative, raising serious doubts about dividend sustainability. Overall, the combination of high leverage, deteriorating earnings, overvalued price‑to‑book (7.84×), and aggressive technical signals points to a high‑risk, overvalued position.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish SMA crossover and MACD
  • Decreasing volume and high volatility
  • Unsustainable dividend amid negative earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential stabilization of cash flow
  • Continued high leverage
  • Unclear path to earnings recovery

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent debt overhang
  • Overvalued price-to-book multiple
  • Risk of dividend cuts

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.10%
Profit Margin-4.36%
ROE-22.27%
ROA2.13%
Debt/Equity1226.80
P/B Ratio7.8
Op. Cash Flow$10.3M
Free Cash Flow$22.8M
Industry P/E33.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.0
Support$0.10
Resistance$16.01
MA 20$12.18
MA 50$14.02
MA 200$15.14
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield18.18%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.53
Volatility142.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.