SNPS:NASDAQSynopsys, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$524.74
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Synopsys sits just above its 20‑day moving average while still below the 50‑day, indicating a modest bullish bias. The 200‑day average remains higher than the current price, providing a long‑term support cushion. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI is in the upper‑range, hinting at overbought conditions, while the MACD histogram has turned negative, signaling short‑term bearish pressure.
Volatility over the past month is elevated and the beta exceeds one, suggesting the stock moves more sharply than the market. Fundamentally, revenue is expanding at a rapid pace and margins remain strong, but the price‑to‑earnings multiple is well above the sector average, pointing to a premium valuation. A discounted cash‑flow model places fair value only a few points above the market price, implying limited upside. The balance sheet shows ample cash but a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, adding leverage risk. Recent headlines highlight strong investor interest and optimism around the Ansys integration and AI‑driven chip design demand. The upcoming earnings release could provide catalyst either way. Overall, the stock trades in a high‑growth, high‑valuation space with notable short‑term technical headwinds but solid medium‑term fundamentals.
Volatility over the past month is elevated and the beta exceeds one, suggesting the stock moves more sharply than the market. Fundamentally, revenue is expanding at a rapid pace and margins remain strong, but the price‑to‑earnings multiple is well above the sector average, pointing to a premium valuation. A discounted cash‑flow model places fair value only a few points above the market price, implying limited upside. The balance sheet shows ample cash but a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, adding leverage risk. Recent headlines highlight strong investor interest and optimism around the Ansys integration and AI‑driven chip design demand. The upcoming earnings release could provide catalyst either way. Overall, the stock trades in a high‑growth, high‑valuation space with notable short‑term technical headwinds but solid medium‑term fundamentals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term bearish momentum
- RSI in overbought territory
- Upcoming earnings release as a near‑term catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
- Synergies from the Ansys integration
- AI‑driven chip design demand supporting continued top‑line expansion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Leadership position in semiconductor design software
- Long‑term secular tailwinds in semiconductor and AI markets
- Robust cash generation despite elevated leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth65.50%
Profit Margin13.76%
P/E Ratio80.6
ROE5.54%
ROA2.04%
Debt/Equity35.58
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.4B
Free Cash Flow$3.1B
Industry P/E39.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI68.8
Support$471.62
Resistance$534.11
MA 20$501.62
MA 50$454.44
MA 200$471.36
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value$529.66
Target Price$539.69
Upside/Downside2.85%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.81
Volatility41.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.