SMCI:NASDAQSuper Micro Computer, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time
$39.59
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Super Micro Computer, Inc. trades at $39.59, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. The last 30 days have gained 31.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 62.7 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $30.92 and resistance around $42.31.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 12.1 times earnings below a sector average of 33.2. Consensus targets land 7.0% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 93.2% on a 5.7% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 86.2%, a beta of 3.70 and a maximum drawdown of 65.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 5/10.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 12.1 times earnings below a sector average of 33.2. Consensus targets land 7.0% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 93.2% on a 5.7% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 86.2%, a beta of 3.70 and a maximum drawdown of 65.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 5/10.
Top Market Events
Gross margin nearly doubled to 17.5% from 9.5% a year ago, turning a slight revenue miss into an EPS beat and putting...Super Micro SMCI stock is in the spotlight on Aug.AI infrastructure stocks rose on Wednesday after strong quarterly financial reports from AI server hardware maker Super...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 31.37
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 12.1 versus sector average of 33.2
- Trading above the 200-day average of 31.37
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 12.1 versus sector average of 33.2
- Analyst targets imply +7.0% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +93.2%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth93.20%
Profit Margin5.71%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE21.47%
ROA7.88%
Debt/Equity63.95
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$-6809886208
Free Cash Flow$-8248783872
Industry P/E33.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.7
Support$30.92
Resistance$42.31
MA 20$37.03
MA 50$31.71
MA 200$31.37
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.52
Valuation
Target Price$42.38
Upside/Downside7.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta3.70
Volatility86.20%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.