SMBK:NYSESmartFinancial, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time
$47.14
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SmartFinancial, Inc. is trading at $47.14, well below its discounted cash‑flow fair value of $63.32, indicating a sizable valuation gap. The stock sits comfortably above its 20‑day (44.21) and 50‑day (42.66) moving averages, with the 200‑day SMA (39.15) also trending upward, and the MACD histogram remains positive, signaling a bullish technical backdrop. However, the RSI of 69.6 approaches overbought territory, suggesting a potential short‑term pullback as price nears the recent resistance of $47.97. Fundamentally, the company delivers strong profitability – operating margin of 37.8% and profit margin of 26.9% – while revenue grew 8.3% year‑over‑year. Its forward PE of 11.2 contrasts favorably with the industry average of 16.9, and a low debt load ($124.8 M) plus $357.6 M in cash underscore a solid balance sheet. The dividend yield of 0.7% with a modest 10% payout ratio appears sustainable. Risk metrics show a relatively low beta of 0.61 and increasing volume, though 30‑day volatility is elevated at 23.5%. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, robust earnings, and strong cash position supports a bullish outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical alignment with SMA and MACD
- Price below DCF fair value providing upside
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong operating margins and earnings growth
- Forward PE advantage versus industry peers
- Low leverage and ample cash reserves
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Stable regional footprint with limited geographic risk
- Undervalued valuation metrics and continued earnings expansion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.30%
Profit Margin26.85%
P/E Ratio15.1
ROE9.88%
ROA0.93%
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$63.8M
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI69.6
Support$40.35
Resistance$47.97
MA 20$44.21
MA 50$42.66
MA 200$39.15
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.91
Valuation
Fair Value$63.32
Target Price$47.46
Upside/Downside0.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.70%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.61
Volatility23.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.